Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 50.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.17% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 24.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%) , while for a Waterford United win it was 1-0 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.