Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 1-2 (8.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.