League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 15
Waterford
May 4, 2026 5.00pm
Waterford Regional Sports Centre
Dundalk

Waterford United vs Dundalk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Waterford United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 1, 2026 8.00pm
Shamrock 1 - 0 Waterford
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Padraig Amond

Dundalk

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 1, 2026 7.45pm
Dundalk 1 - 2 Shelbourne
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Eoin Kenny

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dundalk win with a probability of 55.8%. A win for Waterford United has a probability of 22.47% and a draw has a probability of 21.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win is 1-2 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (10.14%) and 0-2 (8.7%). The likeliest Waterford United win is 1-0 (6.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.05%).

Result

Waterford United 22.47% ▼ (-0.25)
Draw 21.68% ▲ (+0.20)
Dundalk 55.8%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.53% ▼ (-1.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.01% ▼ (-0.93)
Under 1.5 21.99% ▲ (+0.93)
Over 2.5 56.22% ▼ (-1.36)
Under 2.5 43.78% ▲ (+1.36)
Over 3.5 33.49% ▼ (-1.30)
Under 3.5 66.51% ▲ (+1.31)
Over 4.5 19.86% ▼ (-0.97)
Under 4.5 80.14% ▲ (+0.97)

First Half Winner

Waterford United 18.71%
Draw 37.39%
Dundalk 43.9%

Team To Score First

Waterford United 36.53% ▼ (-0.12)
No Goal 5.69% ▲ (+0.31)
Dundalk 57.78% ▼ (-0.18)

Corners

Over 8 66.51%
Equal 8 9.71%
Under 8 23.78%
Over 9 55.98%
Equal 9 10.53%
Under 9 33.49%
Over 10.5 45.43%
Under 10.5 54.57%

Waterford United Goals

Over 1.5 26.02% ▼ (-0.81)
Under 1.5 73.98% ▲ (+0.82)
Over 2.5 8.21% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 2.5 91.79% ▲ (+0.48)
Over 3.5 2.21% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 97.79% ▲ (+0.18)

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5 81.96% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 0.5 18.04% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 1.5 53.68% ▼ (-0.76)
Under 1.5 46.32% ▲ (+0.76)
Over 2.5 27.32% ▼ (-0.74)
Under 2.5 72.68% ▲ (+0.74)
Over 3.5 11.05% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 3.5 88.95% ▲ (+0.47)

Score analysis

Waterford United 22.46%
Draw 21.69%
Dundalk 55.81%
Waterford United
1-0 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.17)
2-1 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.17)
Total : 22.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.05% ▲ (+0.15)
0-0 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.31)
2-2 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 21.69%
Dundalk
1-2 @ 10.48% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 10.14% ▲ (+0.42)
0-2 @ 8.7% ▲ (+0.25)
1-3 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 11.04% ▼ (-0.47)
Total : 55.81%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 6
Dundalk
Mar 13, 2026 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Oriel Park
Waterford
  • Ronan Teahan 30' goal
  • D. McDaid 42' goal
  • Aodh Dervin 74' yellowcard
  • Peter Cherrie 85' yellowcard
  • Daryl Horgan 86' goal
  • Gbemi Arubi 88' yellowcard
  • Eoin Kenny 89' yellowcard
  • Eoin Kenny 90' goal
  • Eoin Kenny 90'+7' goal
  • Shane Tracey 90'+10' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Trae Coyle 46'
  • yellowcard Sam Glenfield 46'
  • yellowcard Padraig Amond 61'
  • yellowcard Evan McLaughlin 61'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 30
Waterford
Sep 13, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
Dundalk
  • Sam Bellis 5' goal
  • Padraig Amond 16' goal
  • Ben McCormack 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eoin Kenny 30'
  • yellowcard Robbie Benson 53'
  • yellowcard Aodh Dervin 54'
  • goal James Gullan 76'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 22
Dundalk
Jun 28, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Oriel Park
Waterford
  • Cameron Elliott 76' yellowcard
  • Hayden Muller 87' yellowcard
  • Sean Keogh 88' yellowcard
  • goal Connor Parsons 19'
  • yellowcard Darragh Power 29'
  • yellowcard Connor Parsons 36'
  • goal Dean McMenamy 43'
  • yellowcard Ben McCormack 53'
  • yellowcard Darragh Leahy 88'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 15
Waterford
May 10, 2024 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
Dundalk
  • Maleace Asamoah 2' goal
  • Maleace Asamoah 44' goal
  • Christie Pattison 53' goal
  • Maleace Asamoah 76' goal
  • Maleace Asamoah 78' yellowcard
  • Kacper Radkowski 89' yellowcard
  • goal Robbie Benson 22'
  • yellowcard Robbie Benson 35'
  • yellowcard James Gullan 36'
  • yellowcard John Mountney 54'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 6
Dundalk
Mar 15, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Oriel Park
Waterford
  • Sam Durrant 85' yellowcard
  • Cameron Elliott 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Niall O'Keeffe 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Ryan Burke 90'+5'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 33
Dundalk
Oct 29, 2021 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Waterford
  • Daniel Kelly 45'+1' goal
  • Sean Murray 78' yellowcard
  • Daniel Cleary 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anthony Wordsworth 87'

Form Data

Shamrock 1 - 0 Waterford
Waterford 1 - 1 Galway United
Sligo 2 - 0 Waterford
Waterford 0 - 0 Drogheda
Bohemians 1 - 1 Waterford
Waterford 1 - 1 Shamrock
Dundalk 1 - 2 Shelbourne
Sligo 2 - 0 Dundalk
Dundalk 2 - 1 Galway United
Dundalk 2 - 2 Derry
Dundalk 2 - 0 St Patrick's
Shelbourne 2 - 3 Dundalk