League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 14
May 1, 2026 7.45pm
Oriel Park

Dundalk vs Shelbourne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 7.45pm
Sligo 2 - 0 Dundalk
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Eoin Kenny

Shelbourne

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Apr 24, 2026 7.45pm
Shelbourne 3 - 4 Drogheda
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
John Martin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dundalk win with a probability of 50.76%. A draw has a probability of 25.16% and a win for Shelbourne has a probability of 24.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.81%) , while for a Shelbourne win it is 0-1 (6.45%).

Result

Dundalk 50.76% (-0.03)
Draw 25.16% (+0.04)
Shelbourne 24.08% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.18% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.23% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 22.77% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 53.49% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 46.51% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 30.77% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 69.23% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 17.53% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 82.47% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Dundalk 39.64% (+0.01)
Draw 40.12% (-0.02)
Shelbourne 20.24%

Team To Score First

Dundalk 53.23% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.26% (+0.02)
Shelbourne 40.51% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 63.51% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.75%
Under 8 24.74% (-0.03)
Over 9 50.85% (+0.01)
Equal 9 12.66%
Under 9 36.49% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 38.54% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 61.46% (-0.01)

Dundalk Goals

Over 1.5 49.72% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 50.28% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 23.27% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 76.73% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 8.9% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 91.1% (+0.02)

Shelbourne Goals

Over 0.5 61.98%
Under 0.5 38.02%
Over 1.5 27.74% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 72.26% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 9.52% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 90.48% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.65% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.35% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Dundalk 50.75%
Draw 25.16%
Shelbourne 24.09%
Dundalk
2-1 @ 10.56% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 10.06%
2-0 @ 8.41% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.65%
3-2 @ 3.01%
Other @ 8.64% (-0.02)
Total : 50.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.81% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.26% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.54% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 25.16%
Shelbourne
0-1 @ 6.45% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.15%
0-2 @ 3.52% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.39% (-0.01)
Total : 24.09%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 9
Apr 3, 2026 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Tolka Park
  • James Norris 46' yellowcard
  • Will Jarvis 46' yellowcard
  • Sean Gannon 46' yellowcard
  • Zeno Ibsen Rossi 60' goal
  • John Martin 67' goal
  • Rodrigo Freitas 73' yellowcard
  • Sean Boyd 83' yellowcard
  • goal Gbemi Arubi 11'
  • goal B. Burns 22'
  • yellowcard Eoin Kenny 65'
  • yellowcard Shane Tracey 79'
  • goal Zeno Ibsen Rossi 86' (OG)
  • yellowcard Harvey Warren 89'
Club Friendlies 3
Jan 20, 2026 11.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tolka Park
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 29
Aug 30, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Oriel Park
  • Eoin Kenny 49' yellowcard
  • Aodh Dervin 54' yellowcard
  • Robbie Benson 62' yellowcard
  • goal Aiden O'Brien 4'
  • yellowcard Mark Coyle 44'
  • yellowcard Alistair Coote 48'
  • yellowcard Sean Gannon 51'
  • yellowcard Tyreke Wilson 64'
  • yellowcard Liam Burt 90'+2'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 20
Jun 7, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tolka Park
  • John Martin 71' goal
  • Dean Williams 77' yellowcard
  • John O'Sullivan 78' yellowcard
  • John Martin 80' yellowcard
  • Tyreke Wilson 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andy Boyle 90'+1'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 13
May 3, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Oriel Park
  • Koen Oostenbrink 25' yellowcard
  • Daryl Horgan 26' yellowcard
  • Zak Bradshaw 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mark Coyle 79'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 7
Mar 29, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tolka Park
  • Patrick Barrett 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Mark Coyle 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Liam Burt 51' goal
  • Hayden Muller 74' goal
  • yellowcard Hayden Muller 43'
  • yellowcard Cameron Elliott 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Ross Munro 55'
  • goal Robbie Benson 90'+1'