Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 50.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.16% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 24.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%) , while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.