Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 48.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.94% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 24.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%) , while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (7.77%).