Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 69.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.98% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 11.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (10.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%) , while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.