League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 15
May 4, 2026 5.00pm
Dalymount Park

Bohemians vs Shelbourne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bohemians

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 1, 2026 8.00pm
Bohemians 1 - 1 Derry
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Markuss Strods

Shelbourne

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 1, 2026 7.45pm
Dundalk 1 - 2 Shelbourne
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
John Martin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bohemians win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Shelbourne has a probability of 26.74% and a draw has a probability of 25.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Shelbourne win is 0-1 (7.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.47%).

Result

Bohemians 47.65% (-0.90)
Draw 25.61% (+0.25)
Shelbourne 26.74% (+0.65)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.43% (-0.30)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.25% (-0.46)
Under 1.5 26.75% (+0.45)
Over 2.5 47.98% (-0.61)
Under 2.5 52.02% (+0.61)
Over 3.5 25.26% (-0.55)
Under 3.5 74.74% (+0.55)
Over 4.5 13.43% (-0.43)
Under 4.5 86.57% (+0.43)

First Half Winner

Bohemians 37.69%
Draw 41.12%
Shelbourne 21.18%

Team To Score First

Bohemians 54.65% (-0.11)
No Goal 7.26% (+0.18)
Shelbourne 38.09% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 58.56%
Equal 8 11.71%
Under 8 29.73%
Over 9 46.54%
Equal 9 12.02%
Under 9 41.44%
Over 10.5 35.26%
Under 10.5 64.74%

Bohemians Goals

Over 1.5 43.7% (-0.98)
Under 1.5 56.3% (+0.98)
Over 2.5 18.42% (-0.75)
Under 2.5 81.58% (+0.75)
Over 3.5 6.05% (-0.38)
Under 3.5 93.95% (+0.39)

Shelbourne Goals

Over 0.5 62.18% (+0.44)
Under 0.5 37.82% (-0.44)
Over 1.5 27.42% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 72.58% (-0.32)
Over 2.5 8.55% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 91.45% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 2.05% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.95% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Bohemians 47.66%
Draw 25.62%
Shelbourne 26.73%
Bohemians
1-0 @ 11.66% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 8.59% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 4.28% (-0.14)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.07)
Other @ 6.04% (-0.38)
Total : 47.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.47% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 7.26% (+0.18)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.62%
Shelbourne
0-1 @ 7.84% (+0.25)
1-2 @ 7.04% (+0.12)
0-2 @ 4.2% (+0.16)
1-3 @ 2.28% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.52% (+0.09)
Other @ 2.04% (+0.05)
Total : 26.73%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 7
Mar 16, 2026 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tolka Park
  • Ali Coote 65' yellowcard
  • Daniel Kelly 65' yellowcard
  • JJ Lunney 71' yellowcard
  • John Martin 72' yellowcard
  • JJ Lunney 72' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Freitas 89' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Freitas 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam McDonnell 75'
  • yellowcard Markuss Strods 75'
  • yellowcard Harry Vaughan 82'
Club Friendlies 3
Jan 24, 2026 11.00am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Dalymount Park
League of Ireland Premier
Oct 26, 2025 4.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier
Aug 9, 2025 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 16
May 16, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Dalymount Park
  • Dayle Rooney 36' goal
  • Dayle Rooney 87' yellowcard
  • Colm Whelan 88' yellowcard
  • Colm Whelan 88' yellowcard
  • redcard Mark Coyle 34'
  • redcard Mark Coyle 35'
  • yellowcard Harry Wood 41'
  • yellowcard Alistair Coote 75'
  • redcard Alistair Coote 83'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 9
Apr 11, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tolka Park
  • Sean Gannon 17' yellowcard
  • Ademipo Odubeko 79' goal
  • Kameron Ledwidge 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Niall Morahan 62'