League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 16
May 8, 2026 7.45pm
United Park (Drogheda)

Drogheda United vs Derry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Drogheda United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 4, 2026 5.00pm
Shamrock 4 - 1 Drogheda
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Mark Doyle

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 4, 2026 5.00pm
Derry 1 - 1 Galway United
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Michael Duffy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derry City win with a probability of 40.73%. A draw has a probability of 29.77% and a win for Drogheda United has a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.95%) , while for a Drogheda United win it is 1-0 (10.63%).

Result

Drogheda United 29.5% (-0.02)
Draw 29.77% (+0.01)
Derry City 40.73%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.82% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.77% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 33.23% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 39.73% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 60.22% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 19.81%
Under 3.5 80.19%
Over 4.5 9.45% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 90.55% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Drogheda United 24.68% (+0.02)
Draw 44.26% (-0.03)
Derry City 31.05% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Drogheda United 42.18% (+0.03)
No Goal 10.3%
Derry City 47.52% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58.55% (+0.01)
Equal 8 12.06%
Under 8 29.39% (-0.01)
Over 9 46.15%
Equal 9 12.4%
Under 9 41.45% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 34.56%
Under 10.5 65.44%

Drogheda United Goals

Over 1.5 26.11% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 73.89% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 7.71%
Under 2.5 92.29%
Over 3.5 2% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98% (-0.02)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5 70.36%
Under 0.5 29.64%
Over 1.5 35.33% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 64.67% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 12.75%
Under 2.5 87.25%
Over 3.5 3.69% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.31% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Drogheda United 29.49%
Draw 29.77%
Derry City 40.73%
Drogheda United
1-0 @ 10.63% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.75%
2-0 @ 5.26% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.04%
3-0 @ 1.54%
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 29.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.95%
0-0 @ 10.3%
2-2 @ 4.66%
Other @ 0.1% (+0.02)
Total : 29.77%
Derry City
0-1 @ 12.29% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.71%
0-2 @ 7.84%
1-3 @ 3.65%
0-3 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 40.73%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 8
Mar 20, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium
  • Michael Duffy 10' goal
  • D. Markey 46' goal
  • Ben Doherty 71' yellowcard
  • Afolabi Akinyemi 71' yellowcard
  • Joshua Thomas 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard J. Bucknor 57'
  • yellowcard S. Farrell 57'
  • yellowcard W. Davis 57'
  • goal Mark Doyle 62'
  • goal W. Davis 64'
  • yellowcard J. Bolger 90'
  • yellowcard J. Bolger 90'+5'
League of Ireland Premier
Sep 26, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 22
Jun 27, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 16
May 16, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT United Park (Drogheda)
  • Thomas Oluwya 10' yellowcard
  • Elicha Ahui 41' goal
  • Conor Keeley 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam O'Reilly 8'
  • yellowcard Robbie Benson 15'
  • yellowcard Liam Boyce 54'
  • goal Dom Thomas 90'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 9
Apr 11, 2025 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))
  • Carl Winchester 54' yellowcard
  • Liam Boyce 54' yellowcard
  • Liam Boyce 61' goal
  • Liam Boyce 63' redcard
  • Adam O'Reilly 69' yellowcard
  • Adam O'Reilly 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Brennan 48'
  • goal Conor Keeley 64'
  • goal Conor Keeley 68'
  • goal Warren Davis 86'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 32
Sep 27, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT United Park (Drogheda)
  • Darragh Markey 30' yellowcard
  • Frantz Pierrot 62' goal
  • Frantz Pierrot 71' goal
  • Luke Dennison 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sadou Diallo 6'
  • yellowcard Mark Connolly 23'
  • yellowcard Sean Robertson 80'
  • goal Andrew Quinn 83'