Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 40.73%. A draw had a probability of 29.77% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.95%) , while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-0 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.