League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 15
May 4, 2026 5.00pm
Brandywell Stadium

Derry City vs Galway United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 1, 2026 8.00pm
Bohemians 1 - 1 Derry
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Michael Duffy

Galway United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 1, 2026 7.45pm
Galway United 2 - 2 St Patrick's
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Kristopher Twardek

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derry City win with a probability of 58.25%. A draw has a probability of 23.62% and a win for Galway United has a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (10.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.41%) , while for a Galway United win it is 0-1 (5.97%).

Result

Derry City 58.25% (+0.05)
Draw 23.62%
Galway United 18.13% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.04% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.64% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 25.36% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 49.9% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 50.1% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 26.78% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 73.22% (+0.21)
Over 4.5 15.45% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 84.55% (+0.15)

First Half Winner

Derry City 41.86%
Draw 41.13%
Galway United 17.01%

Team To Score First

Derry City 61.89% (-0.04)
No Goal 6.76% (+0.06)
Galway United 31.35% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 61.5%
Equal 8 11.29%
Under 8 27.21%
Over 9 49.64%
Equal 9 11.86%
Under 9 38.5%
Over 10.5 38.26%
Under 10.5 61.74%

Derry City Goals

Over 1.5 52.23% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 47.77% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 24.91% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 75.09% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 9.54% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 90.46% (+0.08)

Galway United Goals

Over 0.5 53.95% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 46.05% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 20.35% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 79.65% (+0.17)
Over 2.5 5.43% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 94.57% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 1.15% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.85% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Derry City 58.26%
Draw 23.6%
Galway United 18.13%
Derry City
1-0 @ 12.62% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 10.91% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 10.74% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.25%
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.03)
Other @ 9.5% (-0.08)
Total : 58.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.76% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.02)
Total : 23.6%
Galway United
0-1 @ 5.97% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.22% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.43%
1-3 @ 1.34% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.11% (-0.02)
Total : 18.13%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 9
Apr 3, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Eamonn Deacy Park
  • D. Hurley 16' goal
  • E. McCarthy 65' yellowcard
  • Matthew Wolfe 65' yellowcard
  • F. Pierrot 80' yellowcard
  • Francely Lomboto 80' yellowcard
  • F. Pierrot 82' goal
  • Wasiri Williams 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carl Winchester 59'
  • goal James Clarke 63'
  • yellowcard Conor Barr 83'
  • yellowcard Joshua Thomas 83'
League of Ireland Premier
Aug 22, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 19
Jun 13, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Kevin Holt 18' goal
  • Mark Connolly 20' yellowcard
  • Hayden Cann 73' yellowcard
  • Adam O'Reilly 88' yellowcard
  • goal David Hurley 10'
  • yellowcard Greg Cunningham 44'
  • yellowcard Vincent Borden 55'
  • yellowcard Garry Buckley 63'
  • yellowcard Patrick Hickey 65'
  • yellowcard Evan Watts 89'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 10
Apr 18, 2025 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Eamonn Deacy Park
  • Cian Byrne 20' yellowcard
  • Cian Byrne 20' yellowcard
  • Moses Dyer 38' yellowcard
  • Patrick Hickey 43' goal
  • Cian Byrne 49' redcard
  • Vincent Borden 51' yellowcard
  • Greg Cunningham 73' yellowcard
  • Stephen Walsh 79' yellowcard
  • Vincent Borden 90'+7' goal
  • goal Danny Mullen 16'
  • yellowcard Michael Duffy 37'
  • yellowcard Michael Duffy 37'
  • goal Robbie Benson 47'
  • yellowcard Danny Mullen 57'
  • yellowcard Brian Maher 58'
  • yellowcard Sean Patton 81'
  • goal Gavin Whyte 90'+4'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 5
Mar 7, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))
  • Adam O'Reilly 14' yellowcard
  • Mark Connolly 33' yellowcard
  • Michael Duffy 53' goal
  • yellowcard Moses Dyer 27'
  • yellowcard Moses Dyer 27'
  • yellowcard Rob Slevin 43'
  • goal Moses Dyer 44'
  • yellowcard Patrick Hickey 52'
  • yellowcard Killian Brouder 88'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 29
Aug 30, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Eamonn Deacy Park
  • Stephen Walsh 21' yellowcard
  • Conor McCormack 43' yellowcard
  • Patrick Hickey 76' goal
  • David Hurley 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mark Connolly 65'
  • yellowcard Danny Mullen 76'
  • yellowcard Brian Maher 90'+4'