League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 15
Derry
May 4, 2026 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Brandywell Stadium
Galway United
  • Michael Duffy 57' yellowcard
  • Joshua Thomas 57' yellowcard
  • H. Rylah 75' yellowcard
  • Kévin Santos 87' yellowcard
  • Kévin Santos 90'+1' goal
  • goal James Clarke 44' (OG)
  • yellowcard S. Walsh 62'
  • yellowcard C. McCormack 62'
  • yellowcard E. McCarthy 68'
  • yellowcard Axel Piesold 69'
  • yellowcard Matthew Wolfe 88'

Derry City vs Galway United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 1, 2026 8.00pm
Bohemians 1 - 1 Derry
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Michael Duffy

Galway United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 1, 2026 7.45pm
Galway United 2 - 2 St Patrick's
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Kristopher Twardek

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.39% and a win for Galway United had a probability of 18.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (10.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%) , while for a Galway United win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result

Derry City 58.39% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 23.39% ▼ (-0.24)
Galway United 18.21% ▲ (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.32% ▲ (+0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.7% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 25.3% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 49.85% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 50.15% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 26.49% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 3.5 73.51% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 4.5 15.38% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 4.5 84.62% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Derry City 42.45% ▲ (+0.60)
Draw 41.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Galway United 16.41% ▼ (-0.61)

Team To Score First

Derry City 62.99% ▲ (+1.11)
No Goal 6.66% ▼ (-0.10)
Galway United 30.35% ▼ (-1.00)

Corners

Over 8 61.06% ▼ (-0.44)
Equal 8 11.18% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 8 27.76% ▲ (+0.56)
Over 9 49.35% ▼ (-0.29)
Equal 9 11.7% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 9 38.94% ▲ (+0.44)
Over 10.5 38.14% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 10.5 61.86% ▲ (+0.12)

Derry City Goals

Over 1.5 52.27% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 47.73% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 24.7% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 2.5 75.3% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 3.5 9.68% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 90.32% ▼ (-0.15)

Galway United Goals

Over 0.5 53.78% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 0.5 46.22% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 1.5 20.13% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 1.5 79.87% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 5.39% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 94.61% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.15%
Under 3.5 98.85%

Score analysis

Derry City 58.4%
Draw 23.38%
Galway United 18.22%
Derry City
1-0 @ 12.62%
2-0 @ 11.02% ▲ (+0.11)
2-1 @ 10.91% ▲ (+0.17)
3-0 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.16)
3-2 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 9.65% ▲ (+0.16)
Total : 58.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.39% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.38%
Galway United
0-1 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 5.22%
0-2 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 18.22%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 9
Galway United
Apr 3, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Eamonn Deacy Park
Derry
  • D. Hurley 16' goal
  • E. McCarthy 65' yellowcard
  • Matthew Wolfe 65' yellowcard
  • F. Pierrot 80' yellowcard
  • Francely Lomboto 80' yellowcard
  • F. Pierrot 82' goal
  • Wasiri Williams 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carl Winchester 59'
  • goal James Clarke 63'
  • yellowcard Conor Barr 83'
  • yellowcard Joshua Thomas 83'
League of Ireland Premier
Galway United
Aug 22, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Derry
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 19
Derry
Jun 13, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Galway United
  • Kevin Holt 18' goal
  • Mark Connolly 20' yellowcard
  • Hayden Cann 73' yellowcard
  • Adam O'Reilly 88' yellowcard
  • goal David Hurley 10'
  • yellowcard Greg Cunningham 44'
  • yellowcard Vincent Borden 55'
  • yellowcard Garry Buckley 63'
  • yellowcard Patrick Hickey 65'
  • yellowcard Evan Watts 89'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 10
Galway United
Apr 18, 2025 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Eamonn Deacy Park
Derry
  • Cian Byrne 20' yellowcard
  • Cian Byrne 20' yellowcard
  • Moses Dyer 38' yellowcard
  • Patrick Hickey 43' goal
  • Cian Byrne 49' redcard
  • Vincent Borden 51' yellowcard
  • Greg Cunningham 73' yellowcard
  • Stephen Walsh 79' yellowcard
  • Vincent Borden 90'+7' goal
  • goal Danny Mullen 16'
  • yellowcard Michael Duffy 37'
  • yellowcard Michael Duffy 37'
  • goal Robbie Benson 47'
  • yellowcard Danny Mullen 57'
  • yellowcard Brian Maher 58'
  • yellowcard Sean Patton 81'
  • goal Gavin Whyte 90'+4'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 5
Derry
Mar 7, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))
Galway United
  • Adam O'Reilly 14' yellowcard
  • Mark Connolly 33' yellowcard
  • Michael Duffy 53' goal
  • yellowcard Moses Dyer 27'
  • yellowcard Moses Dyer 27'
  • yellowcard Rob Slevin 43'
  • goal Moses Dyer 44'
  • yellowcard Patrick Hickey 52'
  • yellowcard Killian Brouder 88'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 29
Galway United
Aug 30, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Eamonn Deacy Park
Derry
  • Stephen Walsh 21' yellowcard
  • Conor McCormack 43' yellowcard
  • Patrick Hickey 76' goal
  • David Hurley 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mark Connolly 65'
  • yellowcard Danny Mullen 76'
  • yellowcard Brian Maher 90'+4'

Form Data

Bohemians 1 - 1 Derry
Derry 1 - 0 Shamrock
Shelbourne 1 - 2 Derry
Dundalk 2 - 2 Derry
Sligo 0 - 0 Derry
Galway United 2 - 1 Derry
Galway United 2 - 2 St Patrick's
Waterford 1 - 1 Galway United
Dundalk 2 - 1 Galway United
Galway United 0 - 0 Shelbourne
Drogheda 2 - 3 Galway United
Galway United 2 - 1 Derry