League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 16
May 8, 2026 8.00pm
Richmond Park

St Patrick's Athletic vs Waterford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 4, 2026 5.00pm
Sligo 1 - 1 St Patrick's
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
R. Edmondson

Waterford United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 4, 2026 5.00pm
Waterford 3 - 3 Dundalk
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Padraig Amond

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 75.16%. A draw has a probability of 15.58% and a win for Waterford United has a probability of 9.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.49%) and 3-0 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.39%) , while for a Waterford United win it is 1-2 (3.16%).

Result

St Patrick's Athletic 75.16% (+0.08)
Draw 15.58% (-0.01)
Waterford United 9.29% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.51%

Goals

Over 1.5 83.87% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 16.13% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 64.36% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 35.64% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 39.96% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 60.04% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 28.26% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 71.74% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

St Patrick's Athletic 51.79% (-0.07)
Draw 34.26% (+0.05)
Waterford United 13.96% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

St Patrick's Athletic 70.73% (-0.04)
No Goal 3.91%
Waterford United 25.36% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 68.88% (+0.07)
Equal 8 10.23%
Under 8 20.9% (-0.05)
Over 9 57.43% (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.45% (+0.01)
Under 9 31.12% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 45.76% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 54.24% (-0.04)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 1.5 70.61% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 29.39% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 44.68% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 55.32% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 23.69% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 76.31% (-0.07)

Waterford United Goals

Over 0.5 41.83% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 58.17% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 13.73% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 86.27% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 2.9% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 97.1% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.45% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.55% (+0.01)

Score analysis

St Patrick's Athletic 75.16%
Draw 15.6%
Waterford United 9.28%
St Patrick's Athletic
2-0 @ 11.07%
2-1 @ 10.49% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 10.05% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 9.5% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.46% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.91%
Other @ 23.68% (+0.08)
Total : 75.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.39%
0-0 @ 3.91%
2-2 @ 3.72% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 15.6%
Waterford United
1-2 @ 3.16% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 2.76%
0-2 @ 1.04% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.44% (-0.02)
Total : 9.28%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 8
Mar 20, 2026 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Dean McMenamy 46' yellowcard
  • Jørgen Voilås 64' yellowcard
  • Conor Carty 74' yellowcard
  • 74' yellowcard
  • Jordan Houston 74' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Turner 28'
  • yellowcard Aidan Keena 57'
  • yellowcard Max Mata 64'
  • yellowcard Max Mata 65'
  • goal Luke Turner 69'
  • yellowcard Rhys Bartley 90'
  • yellowcard Anto Breslin 90'
  • yellowcard Tom Grivosti 90'
  • yellowcard Rhys Bartley 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Tom Grivosti 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Anto Breslin 90'+5'
League of Ireland Premier
Oct 24, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 26
Aug 3, 2025 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 17
May 23, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Richmond Park
  • Mason Melia 28' goal
  • Mason Melia 33' goal
  • Sean Hoare 38' yellowcard
  • Barry Baggley 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Tommy Lonergan 2'
  • yellowcard Rowan McDonald 40'
  • yellowcard Darragh Leahy 51'
  • goal Conan Noonan 80'
  • yellowcard Tommy Lonergan 83'
  • yellowcard Ryan Burke 90'+6'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 7
Mar 28, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Padraig Amond 14' goal
  • Dean McMenamy 60' yellowcard
  • Grant Horton 87' yellowcard
  • Darragh Leahy 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zachary Elbouzedi 55'
  • yellowcard Barry Baggley 59'
  • goal Darragh Leahy 88' (OG)
  • goal Brandon Kavanagh 90'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 31
Sep 20, 2024 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Richmond Park
  • Tom Grivosti 29' yellowcard
  • Zachary Elbouzedi 35' goal
  • Mason Melia 39' goal
  • Mason Melia 44' yellowcard
  • Chris Forrester 75' yellowcard
  • Aidan Keena 77' goal
  • yellowcard Dean McMenamy 32'