Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 49.37%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 23.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%) , while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.