League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 19
May 29, 2026 7.45pm
United Park (Drogheda)

Drogheda United vs Waterford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Drogheda United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 22, 2026 8.00pm
Drogheda 1 - 1 Dundalk
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Mark Doyle

Waterford United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 22, 2026 7.45pm
Shelbourne 2 - 1 Waterford
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Tommy Lonergan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Drogheda United win with a probability of 49.37%. A draw has a probability of 27.2% and a win for Waterford United has a probability of 23.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.86%) , while for a Waterford United win it is 0-1 (7.31%).

Result

Drogheda United 49.37%
Draw 27.2%
Waterford United 23.43%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.93%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.08%
Under 1.5 27.92%
Over 2.5 46.3%
Under 2.5 53.7%
Over 3.5 25.42%
Under 3.5 74.58%
Over 4.5 13.88%
Under 4.5 86.12%

First Half Winner

Drogheda United 36.17%
Draw 43.3%
Waterford United 20.53%

Team To Score First

Drogheda United 58.88%
No Goal 7.97%
Waterford United 33.15%

Corners

Over 8 63.5%
Equal 8 11.09%
Under 8 25.42%
Over 9 51.66%
Equal 9 11.84%
Under 9 36.51%
Over 10.5 40.11%
Under 10.5 59.89%

Drogheda United Goals

Over 1.5 44.63% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 55.37% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 19.55% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 80.45% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 7.25%
Under 3.5 92.75%

Waterford United Goals

Over 0.5 58.8% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 41.2% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 24.91% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 75.09% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 7.36%
Under 2.5 92.64%
Over 3.5 1.88%
Under 3.5 98.12%

Score analysis

Drogheda United 49.38%
Draw 27.2%
Waterford United 23.42%
Drogheda United
1-0 @ 12.64%
2-1 @ 9.26%
2-0 @ 9.09% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.46% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.43%
3-2 @ 2.43%
Other @ 7.07%
Total : 49.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 7.97%
2-2 @ 5.21%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 27.2%
Waterford United
0-1 @ 7.31%
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.52%
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 23.42%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 11
May 18, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Tommy Lonergan 35' goal
  • Jørgen Voilås 64' yellowcard
  • Jordan Faria 75' yellowcard
  • Tommy Lonergan 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Mark Doyle 6'
  • yellowcard Leo Burney 46'
  • yellowcard K. Cruise 54'
  • yellowcard Jago Godden 67'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 2
Feb 13, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 3 0
FT United Park (Drogheda)
  • Shane Farrell 3' goal
  • S. Farrell 3' goal
  • Mark Doyle 10' goal
  • James Bolger 56' yellowcard
  • J. Bolger 56' yellowcard
  • Dare Kareem 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jörgen Voilas 63'
  • yellowcard Jørgen Voilås 63'
  • yellowcard Cian Barrett 68'
  • yellowcard Trae Coyle 68'
League of Ireland Premier
Oct 5, 2025 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier
Aug 8, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 18
May 30, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Tommy Lonergan 19' goal
  • Ryan Burke 33' yellowcard
  • 38' yellowcard
  • Rowan McDonald 38' yellowcard
  • Padraig Amond 81' goal
  • Sam Glenfield 82' yellowcard
  • Grant Horton 85' yellowcard
  • Stephen McMullan 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Warren Davis 23'
  • yellowcard Owen Lambe 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Elicha Ahui 90'
  • goal Conor Keeley 90'+3'
  • redcard Elicha Ahui 90'+7'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 8
Apr 4, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT United Park (Drogheda)
  • Warren Davis 45' goal
  • Darragh Markey 67' goal
  • Kieran Cruise 80' yellowcard