May 22, 2026 7.45pm

Tolka Park

Shelbourne vs Waterford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shelbourne

All competitions

W
D
D
W
L
L

League of Ireland Premier

W
D
D
W
L
L

Last game

May 15, 2026 7.45pm

St Patrick's 0 - 1 Shelbourne

Goals scored

24

Top scorer

John Martin

Waterford United

All competitions

W
D
L
D
L
D

League of Ireland Premier

W
D
L
D
L
D

Last game

May 18, 2026 7.45pm

Waterford 2 - 1 Drogheda

Goals scored

17

Top scorer

Tommy Lonergan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Shelbourne win with a probability of 63.75%. A draw has a probability of 21.5% and a win for Waterford United has a probability of 14.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.94%) and 2-0 (10.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.31%) , while for a Waterford United win it is 1-2 (4.73%).

Result

Shelbourne 63.75%

Draw 21.5%

Waterford United 14.75%

Both Teams to Score:

53.58%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.73%

Under 1.5 21.27%

Over 2.5 55.66% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 44.34%

Over 3.5 32.3%

Under 3.5 67.7%

Over 4.5 20.41%

Under 4.5 79.59%

First Half Winner

Shelbourne 45.18%

Draw 39.43%

Waterford United 15.39%

Team To Score First

Shelbourne 67.82%

No Goal 5.68%

Waterford United 26.5%

Corners

Over 8 68.88%

Equal 8 10.3%

Under 8 20.82%

Over 9 57.37%

Equal 9 11.51%

Under 9 31.12%

Over 10.5 45.67%

Under 10.5 54.33%

Shelbourne Goals

Over 1.5 59.04%

Under 1.5 40.96%

Over 2.5 31.84%

Under 2.5 68.16%

Over 3.5 14.57%

Under 3.5 85.43%

Waterford United Goals

Over 0.5 50.95%

Under 0.5 49.05%

Over 1.5 18.95%

Under 1.5 81.05%

Over 2.5 4.6%

Under 2.5 95.4%

Over 3.5 0.91%

Under 3.5 99.09%

Score analysis

Shelbourne 63.76%

Draw 21.51%

Waterford United 14.75%

Shelbourne

1-0 @ 11.19%

2-1 @ 10.94%

2-0 @ 10.77%

3-0 @ 6.91%

3-1 @ 6.33%

3-2 @ 3.1%

Other @ 14.52%

Total : 63.76%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.31%

0-0 @ 5.68%

2-2 @ 4.54%

Other @ 0.05%

Total : 21.51%

Waterford United

1-2 @ 4.73%

0-1 @ 4.42%

0-2 @ 1.98%

1-3 @ 1.03%

Other @ 0.86%

Total : 14.75%

Head to Head

Feb 6, 2026 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre

Sam Glenfield 52'
Jörgen Voilas 53'
Trae Coyle 53'
Jørgen Voilås 53'
Tommy Lonergan 55'

John Martin 13'
Will Jarvis 66'
Rodrigo Costa Freitas 66'
Rodrigo Freitas 66'
Maill Lundgren 80'
Sean Gannon 80'
Sean Boyd 83'

Sep 26, 2025 7.45pm

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Jun 23, 2025 7.45pm

2

2

HT : 0 0

FT

May 5, 2025 5.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 2

FT Tolka Park

Sean Gannon 48'
Sam Bone 90'+3'

Padraig Amond 3'
Padraig Amond 3'
Stephen McMullan 43'
Sam Glenfield 45'+2'
Maarten Pouwels 90'+1'

Feb 21, 2025 7.45pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre

Ryan Burke 61'

Ademipo Odubeko 14'
Harry Wood 18'
Sean Boyd 30'
Sean Boyd 30'
Mark Coyle 45'+1'
Kerr McInroy 60'

Oct 18, 2024 7.45pm

3

1

HT : 1 1

FT Tolka Park

Sean Boyd 40'
Mark Coyle 65'
Sean Boyd 80'
Liam Burt 84'
Ben McCormack 90'+1'
Sean Boyd 90'+2'

Padraig Amond 37'
Ryan Burke 49'
Dean McMenamy 78'
Harry Wood 90'

Form Data

St Patrick's 0 - 1 Shelbourne

Shelbourne 0 - 0 Sligo

Bohemians 2 - 2 Shelbourne

Dundalk 1 - 2 Shelbourne

Shelbourne 3 - 4 Drogheda

Shelbourne 1 - 2 Derry

Waterford 2 - 1 Drogheda

Waterford 2 - 2 Derry

St Patrick's 4 - 1 Waterford

Waterford 3 - 3 Dundalk

Shamrock 1 - 0 Waterford

Waterford 1 - 1 Galway United