Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 63.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 14.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.94%) and 2-0 (10.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%) , while for a Waterford United win it was 1-2 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.