Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.25% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 16.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.83%) and 2-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%) , while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.