League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 17
May 15, 2026 7.45pm
Richmond Park

St Patrick's Athletic vs Shelbourne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 8, 2026 8.00pm
St Patrick's 4 - 1 Waterford
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
R. Edmondson

Shelbourne

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 8, 2026 7.45pm
Shelbourne 0 - 0 Sligo
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
John Martin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw has a probability of 22.25% and a win for Shelbourne has a probability of 16.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.83%) and 2-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.87%) , while for a Shelbourne win it is 0-1 (4.77%).

Result

St Patrick's Athletic 60.96%
Draw 22.25%
Shelbourne 16.74%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.21%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.68%
Under 1.5 21.32%
Over 2.5 55.39%
Under 2.5 44.61%
Over 3.5 31.83%
Under 3.5 68.17%
Over 4.5 19.5%
Under 4.5 80.5%

First Half Winner

St Patrick's Athletic 42.98%
Draw 40.53%
Shelbourne 16.49%

Team To Score First

St Patrick's Athletic 61.1% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.69%
Shelbourne 33.21% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 59.37% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.99%
Under 8 28.64% (+0.02)
Over 9 46.94% (-0.03)
Equal 9 12.43%
Under 9 40.63% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 35.24% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 64.76% (+0.02)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 1.5 57.16%
Under 1.5 42.84%
Over 2.5 29.88%
Under 2.5 70.12%
Over 3.5 12.83%
Under 3.5 87.17%

Shelbourne Goals

Over 0.5 53.55%
Under 0.5 46.45%
Over 1.5 20.87%
Under 1.5 79.13%
Over 2.5 5.82%
Under 2.5 94.18%
Over 3.5 1.32%
Under 3.5 98.68%

Score analysis

St Patrick's Athletic 60.96%
Draw 22.26%
Shelbourne 16.75%
St Patrick's Athletic
2-1 @ 10.98%
1-0 @ 10.83%
2-0 @ 10.12%
3-0 @ 6.96%
3-1 @ 6.06%
3-2 @ 3.19%
Other @ 12.82%
Total : 60.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.87%
0-0 @ 5.69%
2-2 @ 4.85%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.26%
Shelbourne
0-1 @ 4.77%
1-2 @ 4.73%
0-2 @ 2.28%
1-3 @ 1.43%
2-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 16.75%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 5
Mar 6, 2026 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT Tolka Park
  • Evan Caffrey 46' yellowcard
  • Maill Lundgren 46' yellowcard
  • Daniel Kelly 63' yellowcard
  • John Martin 63' yellowcard
  • Harry Wood 72' goal
  • John Martin 75' goal
  • Ali Coote 83' yellowcard
  • goal R. Edmondson 56'
  • goal R. Edmondson 61'
  • yellowcard Aidan Keena 69'
  • yellowcard Anto Breslin 74'
  • yellowcard Max Mata 74'
  • goal Max Mata 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Ronan Boyce 90'+4'
League of Ireland Premier
Nov 1, 2025 4.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 25
Jun 16, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Joe Redmond 39' yellowcard
  • 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Tom Grivosti 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Alistair Coote 10'
  • yellowcard 35'
  • yellowcard Sean Boyd 35'
  • yellowcard Sam Bone 63'
  • yellowcard Patrick Barrett 73'
  • yellowcard Daniel Kelly 77'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 15
May 9, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tolka Park
  • Tyreke Wilson 22' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Lunney 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Harry Wood 48' goal
  • Mark Coyle 51' yellowcard
  • Kerr McInroy 90' goal
  • goal Mason Melia 29'
  • yellowcard Sean Hoare 53'
  • yellowcard Jake Mulraney 90'+5'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 8
Apr 4, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Richmond Park
  • Jamie Lennon 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mark Coyle 27'
  • yellowcard John Martin 28'
  • yellowcard Kerr McInroy 83'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 30
Sep 30, 2024 7.15pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Tolka Park
  • Patrick Barrett 14' yellowcard
  • Sean Gannon 70' yellowcard
  • Rayhaan Tulloch 76' goal
  • Matthew Smith 81' goal
  • Kameron Ledwidge 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Matthew Smith 90'+3' redcard
  • John Martin 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anthony Breslin 10'
  • goal Joe Redmond 22'
  • goal Brandon Kavanagh 63'
  • yellowcard Jamie Lennon 79'
  • goal Al-Amin Kazeem 88'
  • yellowcard Joe Redmond 90'+6'