Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 1-0 (7.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.