Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.05%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 1-0 (8.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.