Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Galway United had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Galway United win was 1-0 (9.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.