Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 19.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (10.34%) and 0-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%) , while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 1-0 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.