Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 79.26%. A draw had a probability of 14.01% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 6.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.06%) and 3-0 (11.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.02%) , while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.