Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 36.84%. A win for Galway United had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Galway United win was 0-1 (10.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (14%).