Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 1-0 (10.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.