Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 54.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.15% and a win for Galway United had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.79%) and 2-0 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%) , while for a Galway United win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.