League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 24
May 25, 2026 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Brandywell Stadium
  • Afolabi Akinyemi 46' yellowcard
  • James McClean 67' yellowcard
  • James McClean 68' yellowcard
  • H. Rylah 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Freitas 60'
  • yellowcard Mipo Odubeko 60'
  • yellowcard Ali Coote 88'
  • yellowcard Ellis Chapman 88'

Derry City vs Shelbourne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 22, 2026 7.45pm
Derry 0 - 0 St Patrick's
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Michael Duffy

Shelbourne

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 22, 2026 7.45pm
Shelbourne 2 - 1 Waterford
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
John Martin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 0-1 (7.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result

Derry City 47.65% (-0.08)
Draw 25.77% (-0.02)
Shelbourne 26.58% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.52% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.79% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 26.21% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 48.85% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 51.1% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 26.13% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 73.87% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 13.86% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86.14% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Derry City 35.93% (-0.01)
Draw 42.85%
Shelbourne 21.22% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Derry City 55.15% (-0.08)
No Goal 7.02%
Shelbourne 37.83% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 57.29% (+0.12)
Equal 8 11.67% (-0.01)
Under 8 31.04% (-0.11)
Over 9 45.44% (+0.12)
Equal 9 11.85%
Under 9 42.71% (-0.12)
Over 10.5 34.41% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 65.59% (-0.11)

Derry City Goals

Over 1.5 44.46% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 55.54% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 18.93% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 81.07% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.33% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.67% (+0.02)

Shelbourne Goals

Over 0.5 62.64% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 37.36% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 27.73% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 72.27% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 8.64% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 91.36% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.12% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.88% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Derry City 47.66%
Draw 25.78%
Shelbourne 26.58%
Derry City
1-0 @ 11.27% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.56% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.66%
3-0 @ 4.21% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.71% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.32% (-0.02)
Total : 47.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.38% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.02%
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.78%
Shelbourne
0-1 @ 7.94% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.04%
0-2 @ 3.99% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.27% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.69% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.11% (+0.03)
Total : 26.58%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 12
Apr 17, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Tolka Park
  • Will Jarvis 46' yellowcard
  • John Martin 50' goal
  • Ali Coote 61' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Freitas 75' yellowcard
  • Sean Gannon 76' yellowcard
  • Sean Boyd 81' yellowcard
  • goal B. Cotter 20'
  • yellowcard D. Markey 61'
  • yellowcard Cameron Dummigan 61'
  • yellowcard Adam O'Reilly 61'
  • yellowcard James Olayinka 61'
  • yellowcard Afolabi Akinyemi 67'
  • goal Afolabi Akinyemi 68'
  • yellowcard H. Rylah 75'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 6
Mar 13, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium
  • H. Rylah 10' goal
  • Kévin Santos 58' yellowcard
  • James Olayinka 58' yellowcard
  • James Olayinka 59' yellowcard
  • Afolabi Akinyemi 59' yellowcard
  • D. Markey 59' yellowcard
  • Joshua Thomas 71' yellowcard
  • Joshua Thomas 72' yellowcard
  • Cameron Dummigan 78' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Henry-Francis 8'
  • yellowcard James Norris 31'
  • goal Daniel Kelly 34'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Freitas 72'
  • yellowcard Will Jarvis 72'
  • yellowcard Evan Caffrey 84'
  • yellowcard Ali Coote 84'
League of Ireland Premier
Sep 19, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League of Ireland Premier
Jun 20, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • John Martin 38' yellowcard
  • Patrick Barrett 61' yellowcard
  • Sam Bone 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sadou Diallo 33'
  • goal Michael Duffy 55'
  • yellowcard Hayden Cann 68'
  • yellowcard Carl Winchester 84'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 13
May 2, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))
  • Michael Duffy 14' goal
  • Liam Boyce 31' goal
  • yellowcard Kameron Ledwidge 52'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 1
Feb 14, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Tolka Park
  • Sean Boyd 11' goal
  • Evan Caffrey 15' goal
  • Sean Boyd 45' goal
  • Sean Boyd 53' yellowcard
  • Patrick Barrett 84' yellowcard
  • goal Michael Duffy 14'
  • yellowcard Adam O'Reilly 22'
  • yellowcard Carl Winchester 38'
  • yellowcard Sadou Diallo 82'