League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 24
Derry
May 25, 2026 7.45pm
Brandywell Stadium
Shelbourne

Derry City vs Shelbourne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 22, 2026 7.45pm
Derry 0 - 0 St Patrick's
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Michael Duffy

Shelbourne

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 22, 2026 7.45pm
Shelbourne 2 - 1 Waterford
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
John Martin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derry City win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Shelbourne has a probability of 26.49% and a draw has a probability of 25.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.96%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Shelbourne win is 0-1 (7.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.37%).

Result

Derry City 47.73% ▼ (-2.12)
Draw 25.78% ▲ (+0.57)
Shelbourne 26.49% ▲ (+1.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.45% ▼ (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.82% ▼ (-0.79)
Under 1.5 26.18% ▲ (+0.79)
Over 2.5 48.89% ▼ (-1.04)
Under 2.5 51.11% ▲ (+1.04)
Over 3.5 26.11% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 3.5 73.89% ▲ (+0.69)
Over 4.5 13.85% ▼ (-0.66)
Under 4.5 86.15% ▲ (+0.66)

First Half Winner

Derry City 35.94% ▼ (-2.34)
Draw 42.85% ▲ (+1.31)
Shelbourne 21.21% ▲ (+1.04)

Team To Score First

Derry City 55.23% ▼ (-1.81)
No Goal 7.02% ▲ (+0.42)
Shelbourne 37.75% ▲ (+1.39)

Corners

Over 8 57.17% ▼ (-2.40)
Equal 8 11.68% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 8 31.15% ▲ (+2.51)
Over 9 45.32% ▼ (-2.04)
Equal 9 11.85% ▼ (-0.37)
Under 9 42.83% ▲ (+2.40)
Over 10.5 34.3% ▼ (-1.55)
Under 10.5 65.7% ▲ (+1.55)

Derry City Goals

Over 1.5 44.55% ▼ (-1.88)
Under 1.5 55.45% ▲ (+1.88)
Over 2.5 18.98% ▼ (-1.31)
Under 2.5 81.02% ▲ (+1.32)
Over 3.5 6.35% ▼ (-0.73)
Under 3.5 93.65% ▲ (+0.72)

Shelbourne Goals

Over 0.5 62.57% ▲ (+1.26)
Under 0.5 37.43% ▼ (-1.26)
Over 1.5 27.67% ▲ (+0.74)
Under 1.5 72.33% ▼ (-0.74)
Over 2.5 8.61% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 91.39% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 3.5 2.1% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 97.9% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Derry City 47.74%
Draw 25.78%
Shelbourne 26.49%
Derry City
1-0 @ 11.26% ▼ (-0.34)
2-1 @ 9.96% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 8.58% ▼ (-0.37)
3-1 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.15)
3-0 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.38)
3-2 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.65)
Total : 47.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.37% ▲ (+0.23)
0-0 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.42)
2-2 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.01% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 25.78%
Shelbourne
0-1 @ 7.91% ▲ (+0.66)
1-2 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.18)
0-2 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.40)
1-3 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.15)
Total : 26.49%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 12
Shelbourne
Apr 17, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Tolka Park
Derry
  • Will Jarvis 46' yellowcard
  • John Martin 50' goal
  • Ali Coote 61' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Freitas 75' yellowcard
  • Sean Gannon 76' yellowcard
  • Sean Boyd 81' yellowcard
  • goal B. Cotter 20'
  • yellowcard D. Markey 61'
  • yellowcard Cameron Dummigan 61'
  • yellowcard Adam O'Reilly 61'
  • yellowcard James Olayinka 61'
  • yellowcard Afolabi Akinyemi 67'
  • goal Afolabi Akinyemi 68'
  • yellowcard H. Rylah 75'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 6
Derry
Mar 13, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium
Shelbourne
  • H. Rylah 10' goal
  • Kévin Santos 58' yellowcard
  • James Olayinka 58' yellowcard
  • James Olayinka 59' yellowcard
  • Afolabi Akinyemi 59' yellowcard
  • D. Markey 59' yellowcard
  • Joshua Thomas 71' yellowcard
  • Joshua Thomas 72' yellowcard
  • Cameron Dummigan 78' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Henry-Francis 8'
  • yellowcard James Norris 31'
  • goal Daniel Kelly 34'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Freitas 72'
  • yellowcard Will Jarvis 72'
  • yellowcard Evan Caffrey 84'
  • yellowcard Ali Coote 84'
League of Ireland Premier
Derry
Sep 19, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Shelbourne
League of Ireland Premier
Shelbourne
Jun 20, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Derry
  • John Martin 38' yellowcard
  • Patrick Barrett 61' yellowcard
  • Sam Bone 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sadou Diallo 33'
  • goal Michael Duffy 55'
  • yellowcard Hayden Cann 68'
  • yellowcard Carl Winchester 84'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 13
Derry
May 2, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))
Shelbourne
  • Michael Duffy 14' goal
  • Liam Boyce 31' goal
  • yellowcard Kameron Ledwidge 52'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 1
Shelbourne
Feb 14, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Tolka Park
Derry
  • Sean Boyd 11' goal
  • Evan Caffrey 15' goal
  • Sean Boyd 45' goal
  • Sean Boyd 53' yellowcard
  • Patrick Barrett 84' yellowcard
  • goal Michael Duffy 14'
  • yellowcard Adam O'Reilly 22'
  • yellowcard Carl Winchester 38'
  • yellowcard Sadou Diallo 82'

Form Data

Derry 0 - 0 St Patrick's
Waterford 2 - 2 Derry
Drogheda 1 - 0 Derry
Derry 1 - 1 Galway United
Bohemians 1 - 1 Derry
Derry 1 - 0 Shamrock
Shelbourne 2 - 1 Waterford
St Patrick's 0 - 1 Shelbourne
Shelbourne 0 - 0 Sligo
Bohemians 2 - 2 Shelbourne
Dundalk 1 - 2 Shelbourne
Shelbourne 3 - 4 Drogheda