May 22, 2026 7.45pm

Brandywell Stadium

Derry City vs St Patrick's Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions

D
L
D
D
W
W

League of Ireland Premier

D
L
D
D
W
W

Last game

May 15, 2026 7.45pm

Waterford 2 - 2 Derry

Goals scored

21

Top scorer

Michael Duffy

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions

L
W
D
D
W
W

League of Ireland Premier

L
W
D
D
W
W

Last game

May 15, 2026 7.45pm

St Patrick's 0 - 1 Shelbourne

Goals scored

31

Top scorer

R. Edmondson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derry City win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic has a probability of 33.92% and a draw has a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win is 0-1 (9.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.24%).

Result

Derry City 38.68%

Draw 27.4%

St Patrick's Athletic 33.92%

Both Teams to Score:

52.35%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.28%

Under 1.5 27.72%

Over 2.5 46.86%

Under 2.5 53.14%

Over 3.5 24.2%

Under 3.5 75.8%

Over 4.5 12.33%

Under 4.5 87.67%

First Half Winner

Derry City 28.72%

Draw 43.98%

St Patrick's Athletic 27.3%

Team To Score First

Derry City 46.82% ▲ (+0.01)

No Goal 7.77%

St Patrick's Athletic 45.41% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 57.01%

Equal 8 12.12%

Under 8 30.87%

Over 9 44.74%

Equal 9 12.27%

Under 9 42.99%

Over 10.5 33.42%

Under 10.5 66.58%

Derry City Goals

Over 1.5 36.56%

Under 1.5 63.44%

Over 2.5 13.83%

Under 2.5 86.17%

Over 3.5 4%

Under 3.5 96%

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 68%

Under 0.5 32%

Over 1.5 33%

Under 1.5 67%

Over 2.5 11.85%

Under 2.5 88.15%

Over 3.5 3.22%

Under 3.5 96.78%

Score analysis

Derry City 38.67%

Draw 27.4%

St Patrick's Athletic 33.91%

Derry City

1-0 @ 10.5%

2-1 @ 8.83%

2-0 @ 6.67%

3-1 @ 3.5%

3-0 @ 3.13%

3-2 @ 2.13%

Other @ 3.91%

Total : 38.67%

Draw

1-1 @ 13.24%

0-0 @ 7.77%

2-2 @ 5.23%

3-3 @ 1.07%

Other @ 0.09%

Total : 27.4%

St Patrick's Athletic

0-1 @ 9.43%

1-2 @ 8.26%

0-2 @ 5.53%

1-3 @ 3.13%

0-3 @ 2.43%

2-3 @ 2%

Other @ 3.13%

Total : 33.91%

Head to Head

Mar 16, 2026 7.45pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Richmond Park

Glory Nzingo 66'
Max Mata 66'
Anto Breslin 79'

Adam O'Reilly 70'
Joshua Thomas 71'
Conor Barr 71'
B. Cotter 71'
James Clarke 71'

Aug 29, 2025 7.45pm

2

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Jun 23, 2025 7.45pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT

May 5, 2025 7.45pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))

Paul McMullan 12'
Shane Ferguson 37'
Danny Mullen 48'

Tom Grivosti 61'
Anthony Breslin 75'
Joe Redmond 90'+4'

Mar 3, 2025 7.45pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT Richmond Park

Aidan Keena 16'
Tom Grivosti 47'
Tom Grivosti 48'
Aidan Keena 67'

Mark Connolly 39'
Carl Winchester 47'
Patrick Hoban 48'
Sadou Diallo 76'
Sean Patton 90'+1'

Oct 25, 2024 7.45pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT Richmond Park

Jamie Lennon 36'
Brandon Kavanagh 44'
Kian Leavy 84'
Romal Palmer 84'

Duncan Idehen 23'
Ronan Boyce 25'
Sadou Diallo 34'
Shane McEleney 53'
Jacob Davenport 88'

Form Data

Waterford 2 - 2 Derry

Drogheda 1 - 0 Derry

Derry 1 - 1 Galway United

Bohemians 1 - 1 Derry

Derry 1 - 0 Shamrock

Shelbourne 1 - 2 Derry

St Patrick's 0 - 1 Shelbourne

St Patrick's 4 - 1 Waterford

Sligo 1 - 1 St Patrick's

Galway United 2 - 2 St Patrick's

St Patrick's 3 - 1 Bohemians

Drogheda 1 - 3 St Patrick's