Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (9.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.