Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 73.14%. A draw had a probability of 16.46% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 10.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (10.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%) , while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.