Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 46.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.68% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 26.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%) , while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.