Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 1-2 (8.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.