Derry City
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 14
Oct 2, 2020 at 5.45pm UK
Brandywell Stadium

Derry
2 - 0
Waterford

Clifford (44' pen., 58' pen.)
Mallon (9'), McCormack (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wilson (51'), Martin (70'), O'Keeffe (72')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Waterford United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 53.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 22.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
Derry CityDrawWaterford United
53.4%24.51%22.08%
Both teams to score 50.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.56%51.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.75%73.25%
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.79%19.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.1%50.9%
Waterford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.95%38.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.18%74.82%
Score Analysis
    Derry City 53.39%
    Waterford United 22.08%
    Draw 24.51%
Derry CityDrawWaterford United
1-0 @ 12.05%
2-0 @ 9.95%
2-1 @ 9.61%
3-0 @ 5.47%
3-1 @ 5.29%
3-2 @ 2.55%
4-0 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 53.39%
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 7.31%
2-2 @ 4.64%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.51%
0-1 @ 7.06%
1-2 @ 5.63%
0-2 @ 3.41%
1-3 @ 1.81%
2-3 @ 1.5%
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 22.08%