Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 39.39% ( | 29.16% ( | 31.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.88% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.22% ( | 62.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.69% ( | 82.3% ( |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.94% ( | 31.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.62% ( | 67.38% ( |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.65% ( | 36.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.86% ( | 73.14% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Valencia | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 13.2% 2-1 @ 7.81% ( 2-0 @ 7.72% ( 3-1 @ 3.04% ( 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 3-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.07% Total : 39.39% | 1-1 @ 13.35% ( 0-0 @ 11.29% 2-2 @ 3.95% ( Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.15% | 0-1 @ 11.42% 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0-2 @ 5.78% ( 1-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 2-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.92% Total : 31.44% |