La Liga Gameweek 34
May 4, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Reale Arena
  • Pablo Marin 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Berenguer 44'
  • yellowcard Andoni Gorosabel 78'

Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Last game
Apr 23, 2025 8.30pm
Alaves 1 - 0 Real Sociedad
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Mikel Oyarzabal

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Apr 23, 2025 6.00pm
Athletic Bilbao 1 - 0 Las Palmas
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Oihan Sancet

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Real Sociedad 44.91% (-0.01)
Draw 27.25% (-0.01)
Athletic Bilbao 27.84% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.49% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.54% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 57.46% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 21.74% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 78.26% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 9.35% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 90.65% (-0.02)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 74.51% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 25.49% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 39.67% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 60.33% (-0.02)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 63.74% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 36.26% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 26.95% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 73.05% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Real Sociedad 44.91%
Draw 27.24%
Athletic Bilbao 27.84%
Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 12.63% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.76% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.64% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.99% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.03% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.36% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 44.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 9.24% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.44% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.24%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1 @ 9.38% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.5% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.76% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.2% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 27.84%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 14
Nov 24, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Oihan Sancet 26' goal
  • Benat Prados 41' yellowcard
  • Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 76' yellowcard
  • Yuri Berchiche 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Igor Zubeldia 21'
  • yellowcard Javi Lopez 53'
  • yellowcard Nayef Aguerd 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Luka Sucic 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2024 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Alex Berenguer 30' goal
  • Alex Berenguer 42' goal
  • Unai Gomez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ander Barrenetxea 61'
  • goal Mikel Oyarzabal 88'
  • yellowcard Mikel Merino 90'
  • yellowcard Robin Le Normand 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Aritz Elustondo 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2023 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Reale Arena
  • Robin Le Normand 30' goal
  • Mikel Merino 44' yellowcard
  • Takefusa Kubo 48' goal
  • Mikel Oyarzabal 66' goal
  • Igor Zubeldia 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ander Herrera 29'
  • yellowcard Daniel Vivian 44'
La Liga Gameweek 29
Apr 15, 2023 3.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT San Mamés Barria
  • Inaki Williams 33' goal
  • Inaki Williams 70' goal
La Liga Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2023 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Reale Arena
  • Alexander Sorloth 25' goal
  • Takefusa Kubo 37' goal
  • Mikel Oyarzabal 62' goal
  • goal Oihan Sancet 40'
La Liga Gameweek 25
Feb 20, 2022 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Raul Garcia 5' yellowcard
  • Inigo Martinez 37' yellowcard
  • Dani Garcia 55' yellowcard
  • Daniel Vivian 68' goal
  • Oihan Sancet 72' goal
  • Inaki Williams 80' goal
  • Iker Muniain 89' goal
  • Alex Berenguer 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Silva 30'