La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 34

May 4, 2025 at 8pm UK

Reale Arena

Real Sociedad
0 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Marin (58')

Berenguer (44'), Gorosabel (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Real Sociedad
Wednesday, April 23 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-3 Man Utd
Thursday, May 1 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Real Sociedad	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
44.91% ( -0.01)	27.25% ( -0)	27.84% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 47.49% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.54% (

0.03)

57.46% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.74% (

0.03)

78.26% (

-0.03)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.51% (

0.01)

25.49% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.67% (

0.02)

60.33% (

-0.01)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.74% (

0.03)

36.26% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.95% (

0.03)

73.05% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Real Sociedad 44.91%

Athletic Bilbao 27.84%

Draw 27.24%

Real Sociedad	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 12.63% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.22% Total : 44.91%	1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.24%	0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 27.84%