Europa League
May 1, 2025 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT San Mames Barria
  • Daniel Vivian 35' redcard
  • Yuri Berchiche 36' yellowcard
  • Yeray Alvarez 61' yellowcard
  • goal Casemiro 30'
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 37'
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 45'
  • yellowcard Mason Mount 77'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Garnacho 84'
  • yellowcard Unai Simon 84'
  • yellowcard Leny Yoro 90'+3'

Athletic Bilbao vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Reaction

News

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Manchester United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 52.87%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result

Athletic Bilbao 52.87% (-0.08)
Draw 23.16% (+0.02)
Manchester United 23.97% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.65% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.2% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 43.81% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 33.81% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 66.19% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 17.38% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 82.62% (-0.03)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 83.44% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 16.56% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 53.66% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 46.34% (+0.04)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 67.9% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 32.1% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 31.42% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 68.58% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Athletic Bilbao 52.87%
Draw 23.16%
Manchester United 23.97%
Athletic Bilbao
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.6% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.85% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.15% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.33% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 52.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.86%
2-2 @ 5.55% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.32% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.16%
Manchester United
1-2 @ 6.17% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.04% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.43% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.34% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.1% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 23.97%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Aug 6, 2023 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Aviva Stadium
  • Jonny Evans 84' yellowcard
  • Facundo Pellistri 90'+3' goal
  • goal Nico Williams 29'
  • yellowcard Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 39'
  • yellowcard Inigo Lekue 63'
  • redcard Aitor Paredes 66'
  • yellowcard Daniel Vivian 83'
  • yellowcard Imanol 84'

Build-up

Team News
News
News
News