Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 52.87%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.