/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Falalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fvallog.png)
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Facundo Garces
69'
-
Joan Jordan
79'
-
Carlos Benavidez
90'+2'
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Santiago Mourino
90'+4'
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Joan Jordan
90'+6'
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Hugo Duro
41'
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Giorgi Mamardashvili
75'
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Max Aarons
90'+6'
Alaves vs Valencia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F51%2Feduardo-coudet.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.
Result
Alaves
37.33%
▼
(-1.21)
Draw
28.57%
▲
(+0.48)
Valencia
34.1%
▲
(+0.74)
Both Teams to Score:
46.03%
▼
(-1.26)
Goals
Over 2.5
39.62%
▼
(-1.60)
Under 2.5
60.38%
▲
(+1.61)
Over 3.5
19.48%
▼
(-1.23)
Under 3.5
80.53%
▲
(+1.24)
Over 4.5
8.04%
▼
(-0.71)
Under 4.5
91.96%
▲
(+0.71)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5
68.9%
▼
(-1.53)
Under 0.5
31.1%
▲
(+1.53)
Over 1.5
32.57%
▼
(-1.82)
Under 1.5
67.43%
▲
(+1.82)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5
66.81%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 0.5
33.19%
▲
(+0.34)
Over 1.5
30.21%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 1.5
69.8%
▲
(+0.38)
Score analysis
Alaves
37.33%
Draw
28.56%
Valencia
34.1%
Alaves
1-0
@
12.05%
▲
(+0.23)
2-1 @ 7.77% ▼ (-0.27)
2-0 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.24)
3-0 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.19)
3-2 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 37.33%
2-1 @ 7.77% ▼ (-0.27)
2-0 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.24)
3-0 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.19)
3-2 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 37.33%
Draw
1-1
@
13.29%
▲
(+0.12)
0-0 @ 10.32% ▲ (+0.61)
2-2 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.56%
0-0 @ 10.32% ▲ (+0.61)
2-2 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.56%
Valencia
0-1
@
11.38%
▲
(+0.58)
1-2 @ 7.33%
0-2 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.26)
1-3 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.1%
1-2 @ 7.33%
0-2 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.26)
1-3 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.1%