La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 34

May 3, 2025 at 1pm UK

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
0 - 0
Atletico

Guevara (28'), Mourino (56'), Blanco (63')

Azpilicueta (41'), Alvarez (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Real Sociedad
Wednesday, April 23 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 3-0 Rayo Vallecano
Thursday, April 24 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 18.62%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.31%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Atletico Madrid
18.62% ( 1.68)	24.02% ( 0.47)	57.36% ( -2.16)

Both teams to score 46.48% (

1.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.44% (

0.55)

53.56% (

-0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.93% (

0.46)

75.07% (

-0.47)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.03% (

2.38)

42.97% (

-2.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.74% (

1.95)

79.26% (

-1.95)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.5% (

-0.59)

18.5% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.28% (

-1.01)

49.72% (

Score Analysis

Alaves 18.62%

Atletico Madrid 57.35%

Draw 24.02%

Alaves	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.42) 2-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.15) Other @ 1.8% Total : 18.62%	1-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.28) Other @ 0.7% Total : 24.02%	0-1 @ 13.41% ( -0.55) 0-2 @ 11.31% ( -0.7) 1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 6.37% ( -0.52) 1-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 2.69% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.24% Total : 57.35%