La Liga Gameweek 34
Alaves
May 3, 2025 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
Atletico
  • Ander Guevara 28' yellowcard
  • Santiago Mourino 56' yellowcard
  • Antonio Blanco 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cesar Azpilicueta 41'
  • yellowcard Julian Alvarez 42'

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
Last game
Apr 23, 2025 8.30pm
Alaves 1 - 0 Real Sociedad
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Kike

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Apr 24, 2025 8.30pm
Atletico 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alexander Sorloth

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 18.62%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.31%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Alaves 18.62% ▲ (+1.69)
Draw 24.02% ▲ (+0.48)
Atletico Madrid 57.36% ▼ (-2.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.48% ▲ (+1.62)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.44% ▲ (+0.55)
Under 2.5 53.56% ▼ (-0.56)
Over 3.5 24.93% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 3.5 75.07% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 4.5 11.31% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 4.5 88.69% ▼ (-0.30)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5 57.03% ▲ (+2.38)
Under 0.5 42.97% ▼ (-2.39)
Over 1.5 20.74% ▲ (+1.95)
Under 1.5 79.26% ▼ (-1.96)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 81.5% ▼ (-0.60)
Under 0.5 18.5% ▲ (+0.59)
Over 1.5 50.28% ▼ (-1.01)
Under 1.5 49.72% ▲ (+1.01)

Score analysis

Alaves 18.62%
Draw 24.02%
Atletico Madrid 57.35%
Alaves
1-0 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.30)
2-1 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.42)
2-0 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.30)
3-1 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.20)
3-2 @ 1.14% ▼ (-97.87)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 18.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.33% ▲ (+0.30)
0-0 @ 7.95% ▼ (-0.18)
2-2 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.29)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 24.02%
Atletico Madrid
0-1 @ 13.41% ▼ (-0.56)
0-2 @ 11.31% ▼ (-0.70)
1-2 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.52)
1-3 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.07)
0-4 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.28)
2-3 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.12)
1-4 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 57.35%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 14
Atletico
Nov 23, 2024 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Alaves
  • Angel Correa 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 76' goal
  • Alexander Sorloth 86' goal
  • Diego Simeone 87' yellowcard
  • Julian Alvarez 90' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Jon Guridi 7'
  • yellowcard Antonio Blanco 58'
  • yellowcard Manu Sanchez 70'
  • yellowcard Luis Garcia 75'
  • yellowcard Tomas Conechny 88'
La Liga Gameweek 32
Alaves
Apr 21, 2024 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
Atletico
  • Jon Guridi 2' yellowcard
  • Javi Lopez 6' yellowcard
  • Carlos Benavidez 15' goal
  • Abdel Abqar 33' yellowcard
  • Carlos Benavidez 49' yellowcard
  • Rafa Marin 68' yellowcard
  • Luis Rioja 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Angel Correa 45'
  • yellowcard Cesar Azpilicueta 50'
  • yellowcard Stefan Savic 68'
La Liga Gameweek 11
Atletico
Oct 29, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Alaves
  • Rodrigo Riquelme 26' goal
  • Alvaro Morata 45'+1' goal
  • Marcos Llorente 71' yellowcard
  • Mario Hermoso 71' yellowcard
  • Jan Oblak 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruben Duarte 71'
  • yellowcard Ianis Hagi 85'
  • goal Ander Guevara 90'+6'
La Liga Gameweek 30
Atletico
Apr 2, 2022 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Alaves
  • Joao Felix 11' goal
  • Marcos Llorente 72' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 75' goal
  • Joao Felix 82' goal
  • Luis Suarez 90' goal
  • goal Gonzalo Escalante 63'
La Liga Gameweek 7
Alaves
Sep 25, 2021 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Atletico
  • Victor Laguardia 4' goal
  • Mamadou Sylla 31' yellowcard
  • Mamadou N'Diaye 36' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefan Savic 17'
  • yellowcard Kieran Trippier 53'
  • yellowcard Geoffrey Kondogbia 55'
La Liga Gameweek 28
Atletico
Mar 21, 2021 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Alaves
  • Luis Suarez 54' goal
  • Yannick Carrasco 76' yellowcard
  • Stefan Savic 85' yellowcard
  • Saul Niguez 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jota 33'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Battaglia 88'

Form Data

Alaves 1 - 0 Real Sociedad
Sevilla 1 - 1 Alaves
Alaves 0 - 1 Real Madrid
Girona 0 - 1 Alaves
Alaves 0 - 2 Rayo Vallecano
Las Palmas 2 - 2 Alaves
Atletico 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Las Palmas 1 - 0 Atletico
Atletico 4 - 2 Valladolid
Sevilla 1 - 2 Atletico
Atletico 0 - 1 Barcelona
Espanyol 1 - 1 Atletico