La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 32

Apr 20, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan

Sevilla
1 - 1
Alaves

Fernandez (12')
Gudelj (10'), Suso (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kike (45+2')
Guridi (42'), Diarra (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions

Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Sevilla
Friday, April 11 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Real Madrid
Sunday, April 13 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Alaves
40.55% ( 0.14)	27.82% ( -0.05)	31.63% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 47.65% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.88% (

0.15)

58.12% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.22% (

0.11)

78.78% (

-0.12)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.9% (

0.15)

28.1% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.23% (

0.18)

63.77% (

-0.19)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.27% (

0.01)

33.73% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.61% (

0.01)

70.39% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Sevilla 40.55%

Alaves 31.63%

Draw 27.81%

Sevilla	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 12.03% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 40.55%	1-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.81%	0-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 31.63%