Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.79%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 28.03%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.69%) and 1-2 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.