La Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 31, 2026 8.30pm
Camp Nou

Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions
Last game
Aug 27, 2026 8.00pm
Barcelona 2 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Fermín López

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 8.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Alaves
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Álvaro García

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barcelona win with a probability of 74.47%. A draw has a probability of 15.96% and a win for Rayo Vallecano has a probability of 9.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.05%) and 3-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.2%) , while for a Rayo Vallecano win it is 0-1 (2.82%).

Result

Barcelona 74.47% (+0.65)
Draw 15.96% (-0.03)
Rayo Vallecano 9.55% (-0.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.52% (-1.64)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.04% (-0.92)
Under 1.5 16.96% (+0.93)
Over 2.5 62.99% (-1.36)
Under 2.5 37.01% (+1.36)
Over 3.5 41.75% (-1.39)
Under 3.5 58.22% (+1.36)
Over 4.5 29.84% (-1.13)
Under 4.5 70.16% (+1.13)

First Half Winner

Barcelona 56.85% (-0.18)
Draw 31.06% (+0.25)
Rayo Vallecano 12.1% (-0.07)

Team To Score First

Barcelona 72.93% (+0.02)
No Goal 4.08% (+0.23)
Rayo Vallecano 22.99% (-0.24)

Corners

Over 8 64.4% (-0.38)
Equal 8 10.39% (+0.24)
Under 8 25.21% (+0.15)
Over 9 53.27% (-0.59)
Equal 9 11.14% (+0.23)
Under 9 35.6% (+0.39)
Over 10.5 42.29% (-0.75)
Under 10.5 57.71% (+0.75)

Barcelona Goals

Over 1.5 70.1% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 29.9% (+0.36)
Over 2.5 44.51% (-0.85)
Under 2.5 55.49% (+0.85)
Over 3.5 23.94% (-0.89)
Under 3.5 76.06% (+0.90)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 41.1% (-0.95)
Under 0.5 58.9% (+0.95)
Over 1.5 14.63% (-0.80)
Under 1.5 85.37% (+0.81)
Over 2.5 3.98% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 96.02% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 1.09% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.91% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Barcelona 74.48%
Draw 15.96%
Rayo Vallecano 9.55%
Barcelona
2-0 @ 11.79% (+0.63)
1-0 @ 10.05% (+0.77)
3-0 @ 9.23% (+0.23)
2-1 @ 9.13% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 7.32% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.09)
Other @ 23.74% (-0.90)
Total : 74.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.2% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 4.08% (+0.23)
2-2 @ 3.68% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 15.96%
Rayo Vallecano
0-1 @ 2.82% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 2.69% (-0.23)
0-2 @ 1.06% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.89% (-0.04)
Total : 9.55%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 29
Mar 22, 2026 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Camp Nou
  • Ronald Araujo 24' goal
  • Ferran Torres 46' yellowcard
  • Marc Casadó 61' yellowcard
  • Dani Olmo 61' yellowcard
  • Marcus Rashford 82' yellowcard
  • Marcus Rashford 83' yellowcard
  • Xavi Espart 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alfonso Espino 46'
  • yellowcard Álvaro García 46'
  • yellowcard Jorge de Frutos 59'
  • yellowcard Unai López 59'
  • yellowcard Sergio Camello 82'
  • yellowcard Sergio Camello 83'
La Liga
Aug 31, 2025 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 24
Feb 17, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
  • Robert Lewandowski 28' goal
  • Gavi 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Ferran Torres 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pathe Ciss 27'
  • yellowcard Andrei Ratiu 41'
  • yellowcard Adri Embarba 87'
La Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2024 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Unai Lopez 9' goal
  • Isi 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Abdul Mumin 71' yellowcard
  • Pathe Ciss 88' yellowcard
  • goal Pedri 60'
  • goal Dani Olmo 82'
  • yellowcard Marc Bernal Casas 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 37
May 19, 2024 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
  • Robert Lewandowski 3' goal
  • Lamine Yamal 10' yellowcard
  • Raphinha 31' yellowcard
  • Pau Cubarsi 37' yellowcard
  • Pedri 72' goal
  • Pedri 75' goal
  • Joao Cancelo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abdul Mumin 23'
  • yellowcard Oscar Valentin 50'
La Liga Gameweek 14
Nov 25, 2023 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Unai Lopez 39' goal
  • Alfonso Espino 64' yellowcard
  • Unai Lopez 69' yellowcard
  • Radamel Falcao 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pedri 31'
  • yellowcard Oriol Romeu 51'
  • goal Florian Lejeune 82' (OG)
  • yellowcard Joao Felix 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Frenkie de Jong 90'+4'