La Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 31, 2026 8.30pm
5
2
HT : 2 1
FT Camp Nou
  • Raphinha 19' goal
  • Lamine Yamal 21' goal
  • Florian Lejeune 51' goal
  • Raphinha 71' goal
  • Lamine Yamal 90' goal
  • goal Sergio Camello 12'
  • goal Sergio Camello 59'
  • yellowcard Adrià Pedrosa 90'

Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions
Last game
Aug 27, 2026 8.00pm
Barcelona 2 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Raphinha

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 8.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Alaves
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Sergio Camello

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 74.49%. A draw had a probability of 15.94% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 9.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.02%) and 3-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.2%) , while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (2.83%).

Result

Barcelona 74.49% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 15.94% ▼ (-0.05)
Rayo Vallecano 9.54% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.64% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 16.92% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 62.97% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 37.03% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 41.84% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 3.5 58.16% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 4.5 29.92% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 4.5 70.08% ▼ (-0.18)

First Half Winner

Barcelona 56.74% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 31.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Rayo Vallecano 12.15% ▼ (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Barcelona 72.99% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 4.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Rayo Vallecano 22.95% ▼ (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 63.69% ▼ (-0.10)
Equal 8 10.42%
Under 8 25.89% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 9 52.59% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 36.31% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 10.5 41.71% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 10.5 58.29% ▲ (+0.07)

Barcelona Goals

Over 1.5 70.16% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 29.84% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 44.54% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 55.46% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 23.98% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 76.02% ▼ (-0.11)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 41.12% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 58.88% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 14.65% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 85.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 3.97% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 96.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.9% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Barcelona 74.49%
Draw 15.95%
Rayo Vallecano 9.55%
Barcelona
2-0 @ 11.81% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 10.02% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 9.2%
2-1 @ 9.12% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 7.32% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 23.78% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 74.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.69%
Other @ 0.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 15.95%
Rayo Vallecano
0-1 @ 2.83%
1-2 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 1.08%
2-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.9% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 9.55%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 29
Mar 22, 2026 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Camp Nou
  • Ronald Araujo 24' goal
  • Ferran Torres 46' yellowcard
  • Marc Casadó 61' yellowcard
  • Dani Olmo 61' yellowcard
  • Marcus Rashford 82' yellowcard
  • Marcus Rashford 83' yellowcard
  • Xavi Espart 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alfonso Espino 46'
  • yellowcard Álvaro García 46'
  • yellowcard Jorge de Frutos 59'
  • yellowcard Unai López 59'
  • yellowcard Sergio Camello 82'
  • yellowcard Sergio Camello 83'
La Liga
Aug 31, 2025 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 24
Feb 17, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
  • Robert Lewandowski 28' goal
  • Gavi 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Ferran Torres 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pathe Ciss 27'
  • yellowcard Andrei Ratiu 41'
  • yellowcard Adri Embarba 87'
La Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2024 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Unai Lopez 9' goal
  • Isi 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Abdul Mumin 71' yellowcard
  • Pathe Ciss 88' yellowcard
  • goal Pedri 60'
  • goal Dani Olmo 82'
  • yellowcard Marc Bernal Casas 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 37
May 19, 2024 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
  • Robert Lewandowski 3' goal
  • Lamine Yamal 10' yellowcard
  • Raphinha 31' yellowcard
  • Pau Cubarsi 37' yellowcard
  • Pedri 72' goal
  • Pedri 75' goal
  • Joao Cancelo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abdul Mumin 23'
  • yellowcard Oscar Valentin 50'
La Liga Gameweek 14
Nov 25, 2023 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Unai Lopez 39' goal
  • Alfonso Espino 64' yellowcard
  • Unai Lopez 69' yellowcard
  • Radamel Falcao 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pedri 31'
  • yellowcard Oriol Romeu 51'
  • goal Florian Lejeune 82' (OG)
  • yellowcard Joao Felix 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Frenkie de Jong 90'+4'