J1 League | Gameweek 4
Mar 13, 2021 at 5am UK
 

Tokushima Vortis
1 - 2
Avispa Fukuoka

Kakita (2')
Konishi (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Salomonsson (53'), Kanamori (68' pen.)
Grolli (49')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Tokushima Vortis and Avispa Fukuoka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tokushima Vortis win with a probability of 44.02%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 27.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tokushima Vortis win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Tokushima VortisDrawAvispa Fukuoka
44.02%28.42%27.56%
Both teams to score 44.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.41%61.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.57%81.43%
Tokushima Vortis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13%27.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.53%63.47%
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.23%38.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.5%75.5%
Score Analysis
    Tokushima Vortis 44.02%
    Avispa Fukuoka 27.56%
    Draw 28.42%
Tokushima VortisDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 13.8%
2-0 @ 8.82%
2-1 @ 8.36%
3-0 @ 3.76%
3-1 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 1.69%
4-0 @ 1.2%
4-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 44.02%
1-1 @ 13.08%
0-0 @ 10.8%
2-2 @ 3.96%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.42%
0-1 @ 10.23%
1-2 @ 6.2%
0-2 @ 4.85%
1-3 @ 1.96%
0-3 @ 1.53%
2-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 27.56%