Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| 29.04% | 27.03% | 43.93% |
| Both teams to score 48.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.89% | 56.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.82% | 77.18% |
| Sagan Tosu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.41% | 34.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.69% | 71.31% |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% | 25.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.83% | 60.17% |
| Score Analysis |
Sagan Tosu 29.04%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 43.92%
Draw 27.02%
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| 1-0 @ 9.32% 2-1 @ 6.78% 2-0 @ 4.95% 3-1 @ 2.4% 3-0 @ 1.75% 3-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.2% Total : 29.04% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.78% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 12.03% 1-2 @ 8.76% 0-2 @ 8.25% 1-3 @ 4.01% 0-3 @ 3.77% 2-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.3% Total : 43.92% |


