J1 League | Gameweek 2
Oct 3, 2020 at 11am UK
Ōita Bank Dome

Oita Trinita
2 - 1
Shimizu S-Pulse

Takazawa (16'), Tanaka (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dutra (26')
Dutra (3'), Kawai (7'), Elsinho (50'), Kaneko (90+2'), Valdo (90+4'), Nakamura (90+4')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Oita Trinita and Shimizu S-Pulse.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oita Trinita win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oita Trinita win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 0-1 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oita Trinita would win this match.

Result
Oita TrinitaDrawShimizu S-Pulse
38.16%27.57%34.27%
Both teams to score 48.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.28%56.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.33%77.67%
Oita Trinita Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.2%28.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36%64.64%
Shimizu S-Pulse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.8%31.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.46%67.54%
Score Analysis
    Oita Trinita 38.15%
    Shimizu S-Pulse 34.27%
    Draw 27.56%
Oita TrinitaDrawShimizu S-Pulse
1-0 @ 11.18%
2-1 @ 8.11%
2-0 @ 6.96%
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-0 @ 2.89%
3-2 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 38.15%
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 8.99%
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 10.46%
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-2 @ 6.09%
1-3 @ 2.95%
0-3 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 34.27%