J1 League | Gameweek 25
Aug 22, 2021 at 10am UK
Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
1 - 0
Avispa Fukuoka

Swierczok (49')
Naruse (34')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Salomonsson (64'), Grolli (90+1')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Avispa Fukuoka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 59.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 16.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.72%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawAvispa Fukuoka
59.3%24.5%16.2%
Both teams to score 41.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.51%58.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.92%79.08%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.35%19.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.38%51.62%
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.07%48.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.09%83.91%
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 59.29%
    Avispa Fukuoka 16.2%
    Draw 24.5%
Nagoya GrampusDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 15.64%
2-0 @ 12.72%
2-1 @ 9.1%
3-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 4.94%
4-0 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 2.01%
3-2 @ 1.76%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 59.29%
1-1 @ 11.18%
0-0 @ 9.61%
2-2 @ 3.25%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 6.87%
1-2 @ 4%
0-2 @ 2.46%
1-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 16.2%