International Friendlies
Oct 4, 2026 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Mohamed V
  • Abde Ezzalzouli 35' goal
  • Bilal El Khannouss 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mamadou Sangaré 13'
  • yellowcard Amadou Haidara 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Check Keita 67'
  • goal Gaoussou Diarra 77'
  • yellowcard Aliou Dieng 81'
  • yellowcard Modibo Sagnan 88'

Morocco vs Mali - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 7, 2026 8.00pm
Morocco 1 - 1 Norway

Mali

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Oct 3, 2026 8.00pm
Tunisia 0 - 0 Mali

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Morocco win with a probability of 67.2%. A draw has a probability of 22.73% and a win for Mali has a probability of 10.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win is 1-0 with a probability of 17.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (15.37%) and 3-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.93%) , while for a Mali win it is 0-1 (4.96%).

Result

Morocco 67.2%
Draw 22.73%
Mali 10.07%

Both Teams to Score: 

34.99%

Goals

Over 1.5 67.64%
Under 1.5 32.36%
Over 2.5 40.95%
Under 2.5 59.05%
Over 3.5 21.48%
Under 3.5 78.52%
Over 4.5 13.78%
Under 4.5 86.22%

First Half Winner

Morocco 45.79%
Draw 43.96%
Mali 10.25%

Team To Score First

Morocco 66.63%
No Goal 9.75%
Mali 23.62%

Corners

Over 8 39.07%
Equal 8 11.11%
Under 8 49.82%
Over 9 29.31%
Equal 9 9.76%
Under 9 60.93%
Over 10.5 21.36%
Under 10.5 78.64%

Morocco Goals

Over 1.5 53%
Under 1.5 47%
Over 2.5 26.57%
Under 2.5 73.43%
Over 3.5 11.01%
Under 3.5 88.99%

Mali Goals

Over 0.5 37.73%
Under 0.5 62.27%
Over 1.5 9.83%
Under 1.5 90.17%
Over 2.5 1.93%
Under 2.5 98.07%
Over 3.5 0.47%
Under 3.5 99.53%

Score analysis

Morocco 67.21%
Draw 22.73%
Mali 10.09%
Morocco
1-0 @ 17.68%
2-0 @ 15.37%
3-0 @ 8.68%
2-1 @ 8.2%
3-1 @ 4.81%
3-2 @ 1.65%
Other @ 10.82%
Total : 67.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.93%
0-0 @ 9.75%
2-2 @ 2.44%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.73%
Mali
0-1 @ 4.96%
1-2 @ 2.43%
0-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 10.09%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Dec 26, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Brahim Diaz 45'+5' goal
  • Nayef Aguerd 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ousmane Camara 22'
  • yellowcard Abdoulaye Diaby 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Mahamadou Doumbia 49'
  • yellowcard Mahamadou Doumbia 50'
  • yellowcard Woyo Coulibaly 51'
  • yellowcard Lassine Sinayoko 63'
  • goal Lassine Sinayoko 64'
  • yellowcard Djigui Diarra 82'
  • yellowcard Nene Dorgeles 90'+7'
African Nations Championship
Feb 7, 2021 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Omnisport Ahmadou Ahidjo
  • Issaka Samake 6' yellowcard
  • Djigui Diarra 79' yellowcard
  • Issaka Samake 90'+3' redcard
  • goal Soufiane Bouftini 69'
  • yellowcard Hamza El Moussaoui 73'
  • goal Ayoub El Kaabi 79'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Ali Bemammer 87'