Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 1
Sep 25, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah
  • Noussair Mazraoui 36' goal
  • Ayyoub Bouaddi 64' yellowcard
  • Soufiane Rahimi 84' goal
  • yellowcard Anthony Oyono 41'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Do Marcolino 72'

Morocco vs Gabon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

All competitions

Gabon

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 71.79%. A draw had a probability of 18.63% and a win for Gabon had a probability of 9.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.68%) and 3-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%) , while for a Gabon win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood.

Result

Morocco 71.79% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 18.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Gabon 9.59%

Both Teams to Score: 

40.32% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 26.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 50.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 49.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 28.18% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 71.82% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 19.38% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 80.62% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Morocco 47.97% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 39.42% ▲ (+0.03)
Gabon 12.61% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Morocco 70.05%
No Goal 7.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Gabon 22.58% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 35.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 8 10.78%
Under 8 53.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 9 26.58%
Equal 9 9.21%
Under 9 64.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 10.5 19.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 80.73% ▼ (-0.01)

Morocco Goals

Over 1.5 59.8% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 40.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 34.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 65.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 15.8% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 84.2% ▼ (-0.07)

Gabon Goals

Over 0.5 38% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 62% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 10.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 89.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 1.97%
Under 2.5 98.03%
Over 3.5 0.45% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.55% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Morocco 71.79%
Draw 18.64%
Gabon 9.59%
Morocco
1-0 @ 15.06% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 13.68% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 10.12% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.75% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 15.79% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 71.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.69% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.37% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.44%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 18.64%
Gabon
0-1 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 9.59%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Nov 15, 2024 7.00pm
1
5
HT : 1 3
FT Stade de Franceville
  • Denis Bouanga 4' goal
  • Jim Allevinah 7' yellowcard
  • Denis Bouanga 35' yellowcard
  • Guelor Kanga 49' yellowcard
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 82' yellowcard
  • goal Jamal Harkass 17'
  • goal Brahim Diaz 20'
  • goal Brahim Diaz 23'
  • yellowcard Eliesse Ben Seghir 59'
  • goal Youssef En-Nesyri 81'
  • goal Ismael Saibari 90'
  • yellowcard Ismael Saibari 90'
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sep 6, 2024 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stade d'Agadir
  • Hakim Ziyech 10' goal
  • Abdel Abqar 15' yellowcard
  • Hakim Ziyech 26' goal
  • Brahim Diaz 59' goal
  • Ayoub El Kaabi 82' goal
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 40'
Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 18, 2022 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jim Allevinah 21' goal
  • Johann Obiang 36' yellowcard
  • Aaron Boupendza 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Nayef Aguerd 81' goal
  • yellowcard Sofyan Amrabat 38'
  • goal Sofiane Boufal 74'
  • goal Achraf Hakimi 84'
International Friendlies
Oct 15, 2019 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Grand Stade de Tanger (Tanger)
  • Nordin Amrabat 32' goal
  • Nordin Amrabat 69' goal
  • goal Aaron Boupendza 22'
  • yellowcard Denis Bouanga 44'
  • goal Denis Bouanga 48'
  • yellowcard Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 49'
  • goal Issam Chebake 81' (OG)