Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 52.81%. A win for Trinidad and Tobago had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Trinidad and Tobago win was 0-1 (6.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.