Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 36.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-0 (8.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.