Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 51.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Apollon Smyrni had a probability of 20.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.13%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for an Apollon Smyrni win it was 1-0 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.