Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 60.36%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for AEL Larissa had a probability of 15.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.92%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for an AEL Larissa win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.