Eredivisie Gameweek 11
Oct 31, 2026 8.00pm
Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 3.45pm
Groningen 2 - 5 Ajax
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Julian Brandt

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 1.30pm
Cambuur 2 - 2 AZ
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Ro-Zangelo Daal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 55.11%. A win for AZ Alkmaar has a probability of 23.84% and a draw has a probability of 21.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win is 1-2 (5.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.93%).

Result

Ajax 55.11% ▼ (-1.14)
Draw 21.06% ▲ (+0.33)
AZ Alkmaar 23.84% ▲ (+0.81)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.96% ▼ (-1.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.59% ▼ (-0.57)
Under 1.5 16.41% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 2.5 64.51% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 2.5 35.49% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 3.5 42.62% ▲ (+0.81)
Under 3.5 57.38% ▼ (-0.81)
Over 4.5 27.41% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 4.5 72.59% ▼ (-0.46)

First Half Winner

Ajax 46.72% ▼ (-3.31)
Draw 32.08% ▲ (+0.99)
AZ Alkmaar 21.2% ▲ (+2.31)

Team To Score First

Ajax 63.5% ▼ (-1.18)
No Goal 3.83% ▲ (+0.15)
AZ Alkmaar 32.67% ▲ (+1.04)

Corners

Over 8 62.2% ▼ (-0.86)
Equal 8 10.32% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 8 27.48% ▲ (+0.75)
Over 9 51.32% ▼ (-0.90)
Equal 9 10.88% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 9 37.8% ▲ (+0.86)
Over 10.5 40.73% ▼ (-0.89)
Under 10.5 59.27% ▲ (+0.89)

Ajax Goals

Over 1.5 58.08% ▼ (-0.75)
Under 1.5 41.92% ▲ (+0.75)
Over 2.5 32.49% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 2.5 67.51% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 3.5 14.68% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 3.5 85.32% ▲ (+0.43)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5 61.59% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 0.5 38.41% ▼ (-0.46)
Over 1.5 31.78% ▲ (+1.24)
Under 1.5 68.22% ▼ (-1.24)
Over 2.5 12.44% ▲ (+0.92)
Under 2.5 87.56% ▼ (-0.93)
Over 3.5 4.11% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 3.5 95.89% ▼ (-0.33)

Score analysis

Ajax 55.11%
Draw 21.05%
AZ Alkmaar 23.84%
Ajax
2-1 @ 9.73% ▼ (-0.46)
1-0 @ 7.96% ▲ (+0.34)
2-0 @ 7.12% ▼ (-0.19)
3-1 @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.31)
3-2 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 14.44% ▼ (-0.45)
Total : 55.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.93% ▼ (-0.31)
2-2 @ 6.1% ▲ (+0.19)
0-0 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.15)
3-3 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.27)
Other @ 0.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 21.05%
AZ Alkmaar
1-2 @ 5.95% ▼ (-0.17)
0-1 @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.25)
2-3 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.25)
1-3 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.30)
0-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.33)
Total : 23.84%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 22
Feb 8, 2026 1.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Mateo Chávez 43' yellowcard
  • Jizz Hornkamp 46' yellowcard
  • Wouter Goes 52' goal
  • Weslley Patati 73' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Sadiq 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kian Fitz-Jim 66'
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Zinchenko 76'
  • yellowcard Oscar Gloukh 76'
  • yellowcard Oliver Edvardsen 76'
  • yellowcard Wout Weghorst 88'
  • goal Kian Fitz-Jim 90'+3'
KNVB Beker
Jan 14, 2026 8.00pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Troy Parrott 2' goal
  • Troy Parrott 33' goal
  • Peer Koopmeiners 45'+1' goal
  • Kees Smit 47' goal
  • Elijah Dijkstra 57' yellowcard
  • Billy van Duijl 72' yellowcard
  • Ayoub Oufkir 72' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Sadiq 72' yellowcard
  • Matej Sin 78' yellowcard
  • Troy Parrott 80' goal
  • Ibrahim Sadiq 88' goal
  • yellowcard Raul Moro 46'
  • yellowcard Rayane Bounida 46'
  • yellowcard Raúl Moro 46'
  • yellowcard Jorthy Mokio 74'
  • yellowcard Anton Gaaei 74'
  • yellowcard Aaron Bouwman 81'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Oct 18, 2025 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2025 3.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Amsterdam ArenA
  • Kenneth Taylor 22' yellowcard
  • Anton Gaaei 58' goal
  • Anton Gaaei 74' redcard
  • Oliver Valaker Edvardsen 85' goal
  • yellowcard Alexandre Penetra 32'
  • goal Zico Buurmeester 52'
  • yellowcard Kristijan Belic 54'
  • yellowcard Jordy Clasie 58'
  • redcard Alexandre Penetra 74'
  • goal Ibrahim Sadiq 83'
KNVB Beker
Jan 14, 2025 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
  • Wouter Goes 36' goal
  • Peer Koopmeiners 81' yellowcard
  • Mexx Meerdink 89' goal
  • yellowcard Bertrand Traore 77'
  • yellowcard Youri Baas 90'+3'
Eredivisie Gameweek 15
Dec 8, 2024 1.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Wouter Goes 46' yellowcard
  • Troy Parrott 65' goal
  • Mayckel Lahdo 76' goal
  • yellowcard Wout Weghorst 36'
  • yellowcard Josip Sutalo 45'+2'
  • goal Mika Godts 81'