Eredivisie Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2026 7.00pm
Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 7.00pm
Sittard 1 - 5 Ajax
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Julian Brandt

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 11.15am
Excelsior 1 - 2 Utrecht
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
David Garden

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 64%. A draw has a probability of 19.89% and a win for SBV Excelsior has a probability of 16.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.3%) and 1-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.87%) , while for a SBV Excelsior win it is 1-2 (4.69%).

Result

Ajax 64%
Draw 19.89%
SBV Excelsior 16.14%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.81%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.96%
Under 1.5 17.04%
Over 2.5 62.88%
Under 2.5 37.12%
Over 3.5 41.25%
Under 3.5 58.75%
Over 4.5 27.33%
Under 4.5 72.67%

First Half Winner

Ajax 48.9%
Draw 33.52%
SBV Excelsior 17.57%

Team To Score First

Ajax 65.17%
No Goal 4.34%
SBV Excelsior 30.49%

Corners

Over 8 60.06%
Equal 8 10.31%
Under 8 29.63%
Over 9 49.36%
Equal 9 10.7%
Under 9 39.94%
Over 10.5 39.08%
Under 10.5 60.92%

Ajax Goals

Over 1.5 63.37%
Under 1.5 36.63%
Over 2.5 37.38%
Under 2.5 62.62%
Over 3.5 18.3%
Under 3.5 81.7%

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 52.52%
Under 0.5 47.48%
Over 1.5 23.17%
Under 1.5 76.83%
Over 2.5 7.16%
Under 2.5 92.84%
Over 3.5 2.16%
Under 3.5 97.84%

Score analysis

Ajax 64.01%
Draw 19.89%
SBV Excelsior 16.14%
Ajax
2-1 @ 9.65%
2-0 @ 9.3%
1-0 @ 9.02%
3-1 @ 7.11%
3-0 @ 6.68%
3-2 @ 4.07%
Other @ 18.18%
Total : 64.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.87%
2-2 @ 5.34%
0-0 @ 4.34%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.89%
SBV Excelsior
1-2 @ 4.69%
0-1 @ 3.72%
0-2 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.7%
1-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 16.14%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 21
Feb 1, 2026 11.15am
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Gyan de Regt 62' yellowcard
  • Miliano Jonathans 63' yellowcard
  • Lewis Schouten 63' yellowcard
  • Miliano Jonathans 74' goal
  • Arthur Zagré 79' goal
  • Mike van Duinen 89' yellowcard
  • goal Mika Godts 21'
  • goal Mika Godts 40'
  • yellowcard Oliver Edvardsen 67'
  • yellowcard Wout Weghorst 67'
  • yellowcard Jinairo Johnson 80'
  • yellowcard Takehiro Tomiyasu 80'
Eredivisie
Nov 22, 2025 5.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 31
Apr 24, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Devyne Rensch 27' goal
  • Steven Bergwijn 36' redcard
  • Benjamin Tahirovic 68' yellowcard
  • Mimeirhel Benita 73' yellowcard
  • Chuba Akpom 89' goal
  • goal Julian Baas 38'
  • goal Lazaros Lamprou 53'
  • yellowcard Siebe Horemans 67'
  • yellowcard Anton Gaaei 77'
Eredivisie Gameweek 2
Aug 19, 2023 3.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Siebe Horemans 45'+1' goal
  • Nikolas Agrafiotis 48' goal
  • goal Brian Brobbey 25'
  • goal Davy Klaassen 72'
Eredivisie Gameweek 19
Jan 29, 2023 1.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Redouan El Yaakoubi 36' goal
  • goal Dusan Tadic 15'
  • goal Davy Klaassen 45'
  • goal Mohammed Kudus 61'
  • goal Devyne Rensch 83'
Eredivisie Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 7.00pm
7
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Jorge Sanchez 15' goal
  • Steven Berghuis 26' goal
  • Brian Brobbey 44' goal
  • Brian Brobbey 59' goal
  • Dusan Tadic 65' goal
  • Steven Bergwijn 75' goal
  • Mohammed Kudus 81' goal
  • goal Nikolas Agrafiotis 90'