Eredivisie Gameweek 3
Nijmegen
Sep 8, 2026 5.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Goffertstadion
Excelsior
  • Jamiro Monteiro 4' yellowcard
  • Adam Tahaui 10' goal
  • Adam Tahaui 11' goal
  • Noé Lebreton 90'+2' goal
  • goal David Garden 43'
  • yellowcard Lennard Hartjes 52'
  • yellowcard Rick Meissen 70'
  • goal Valentin Sulzbacher 73'
  • yellowcard Valentin Sulzbacher 90'+5'

NEC vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.30pm
Nijmegen 1 - 3 Feyenoord
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Adam Tahaui

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 8.00pm
Willem II 0 - 3 Excelsior
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
David Garden

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.26%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result

NEC 44.93% ▼ (-0.78)
Draw 23.62% ▲ (+0.15)
SBV Excelsior 31.41% ▲ (+0.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

66.07% ▼ (-0.85)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.28% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 14.72% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 66.47% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 2.5 33.53% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 3.5 45.61% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 3.5 54.39% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 4.5 28.95% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 4.5 71.05% ▲ (+0.46)

First Half Winner

NEC 35.48% ▼ (-2.37)
Draw 36.62% ▲ (+0.18)
SBV Excelsior 27.9% ▲ (+2.17)

Team To Score First

NEC 52.22% ▼ (-2.13)
No Goal 3.8% ▼ (-0.06)
SBV Excelsior 43.98% ▲ (+2.17)

Corners

Over 8 62.92% ▼ (-3.82)
Equal 8 10.23% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 8 26.85% ▲ (+3.37)
Over 9 52.08% ▼ (-4.00)
Equal 9 10.84% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 9 37.08% ▲ (+3.82)
Over 10.5 41.47% ▼ (-3.86)
Under 10.5 58.53% ▲ (+3.86)

NEC Goals

Over 1.5 52.46% ▼ (-0.90)
Under 1.5 47.54% ▲ (+0.90)
Over 2.5 27.3% ▼ (-0.90)
Under 2.5 72.7% ▲ (+0.91)
Over 3.5 11.65% ▼ (-0.59)
Under 3.5 88.35% ▲ (+0.59)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 69.76% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 0.5 30.24% ▼ (-0.57)
Over 1.5 41.72% ▲ (+0.63)
Under 1.5 58.28% ▼ (-0.63)
Over 2.5 18.74% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 81.26% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 7.64% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 3.5 92.36% ▼ (-0.30)

Score analysis

NEC 44.94%
Draw 23.62%
SBV Excelsior 31.42%
NEC
2-1 @ 8.63% ▼ (-0.04)
1-0 @ 6.26% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.17)
3-2 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 11.13% ▼ (-0.50)
Total : 44.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.39% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 7.59% ▲ (+0.22)
0-0 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.52% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 23.62%
SBV Excelsior
1-2 @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.09)
0-1 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.21)
1-3 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.16)
0-3 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 7.12% ▲ (+0.38)
Total : 31.42%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 29
Excelsior
Apr 4, 2026 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Nijmegen
  • Irakli Yegoian 60' yellowcard
  • Mike van Duinen 76' yellowcard
  • Simon Janssen 76' yellowcard
  • Simon Janssen 77' yellowcard
  • Adam Carlén 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Szymon Wlodarczyk 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Bryan Linssen 30'
  • goal Başar Önal 71'
  • yellowcard Dirk Proper 80'
  • yellowcard Danilo 81'
  • yellowcard Dirk Proper 81'
  • yellowcard Brayann Pereira 81'
  • yellowcard Brayann Pereira 82'
  • yellowcard Ahmetcan Kaplan 85'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Nijmegen
Aug 9, 2025 3.30pm
5
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Excelsior
Eredivisie Gameweek 32
Excelsior
May 6, 2024 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Nijmegen
  • Lance Duijvestijn 23' yellowcard
  • Siebe Horemans 72' redcard
  • goal Tjaronn Chery 60'
  • goal Tjaronn Chery 64'
  • yellowcard Mathias Ross 64'
  • yellowcard Kodai Sano 78'
  • goal Rober 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 1
Nijmegen
Aug 13, 2023 11.15am
3
4
HT : 2 1
FT Sportpark De Weeren
Excelsior
  • Youri Baas 36' goal
  • Sontje Hansen 44' goal
  • Koki Ogawa 60' goal
  • Pedro Marques 83' yellowcard
  • goal Nikolas Agrafiotis 12'
  • goal Casper Widell 53'
  • goal Richie Omorowa 73'
  • yellowcard Serano Seymor 84'
  • yellowcard Julian Baas 90'+9'
  • goal Oscar Uddenas 90'+10'
Eredivisie Gameweek 22
Excelsior
Feb 19, 2023 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Nijmegen
  • goal Magnus Mattsson 44'
  • goal Souffian Elkarouani 73'
  • goal Anthony Musaba 85'
Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Nijmegen
Oct 8, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Excelsior
  • Landry Dimata 59' goal
  • goal Lazaros Lamprou 88'

Form Data

Nijmegen 1 - 3 Feyenoord
PEC Zwolle 1 - 3 Nijmegen
Bodo/Glimt 3 - 0 Nijmegen
Nijmegen 1 - 3 Bodo/Glimt
Willem II 1 - 4 Nijmegen
Nijmegen 2 - 1 Olympiacos
Willem II 0 - 3 Excelsior
Excelsior 2 - 1 Sparta
Excelsior 1 - 2 PSV
Cambuur 0 - 4 Excelsior
De Graafschap 1 - 5 Excelsior
Heracles 3 - 5 Excelsior