Eredivisie Gameweek 3
Aug 22, 2026 7.00pm
Goffertstadion

NEC vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.30pm
Willem II 1 - 4 Nijmegen

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 7.00pm
Excelsior 1 - 2 PSV

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result

NEC 49.77% (+0.11)
Draw 23.29% (+0.02)
SBV Excelsior 26.95% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.14% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.53% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 15.47% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 65.1% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 34.9% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 43.44% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 56.56% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 27.54% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 72.46% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

NEC 39.3% (+0.02)
Draw 36.88% (+0.04)
SBV Excelsior 23.81% (-0.07)

Team To Score First

NEC 53.62%
No Goal 3.98% (+0.01)
SBV Excelsior 42.4% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 65.16% (-0.19)
Equal 8 10.14% (+0.01)
Under 8 24.7% (+0.17)
Over 9 54.23% (-0.18)
Equal 9 10.93%
Under 9 34.84% (+0.19)
Over 10.5 43.38% (-0.16)
Under 10.5 56.62% (+0.16)

NEC Goals

Over 1.5 55.5% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 44.5% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 29.75% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 70.25% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 12.86% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 87.14% (-0.05)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 65.89% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 34.11% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 36.5% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 63.5% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 15.23% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 84.77% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 5.65% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.35% (+0.02)

Score analysis

NEC 49.77%
Draw 23.28%
SBV Excelsior 26.95%
NEC
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.94% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.55% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.98%
3-2 @ 4.43% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.33% (+0.03)
Other @ 12.31% (+0.06)
Total : 49.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.63% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.97% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.98% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.15% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 23.28%
SBV Excelsior
1-2 @ 6.62% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 4.55% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.25% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3%
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 5.1% (-0.03)
Total : 26.95%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 29
Apr 4, 2026 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Irakli Yegoian 60' yellowcard
  • Mike van Duinen 76' yellowcard
  • Simon Janssen 76' yellowcard
  • Simon Janssen 77' yellowcard
  • Adam Carlén 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Szymon Wlodarczyk 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Bryan Linssen 30'
  • goal Başar Önal 71'
  • yellowcard Dirk Proper 80'
  • yellowcard Danilo 81'
  • yellowcard Dirk Proper 81'
  • yellowcard Brayann Pereira 81'
  • yellowcard Brayann Pereira 82'
  • yellowcard Ahmetcan Kaplan 85'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Aug 9, 2025 3.30pm
5
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 32
May 6, 2024 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Lance Duijvestijn 23' yellowcard
  • Siebe Horemans 72' redcard
  • goal Tjaronn Chery 60'
  • goal Tjaronn Chery 64'
  • yellowcard Mathias Ross 64'
  • yellowcard Kodai Sano 78'
  • goal Rober 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 11.15am
3
4
HT : 2 1
FT Sportpark De Weeren
  • Youri Baas 36' goal
  • Sontje Hansen 44' goal
  • Koki Ogawa 60' goal
  • Pedro Marques 83' yellowcard
  • goal Nikolas Agrafiotis 12'
  • goal Casper Widell 53'
  • goal Richie Omorowa 73'
  • yellowcard Serano Seymor 84'
  • yellowcard Julian Baas 90'+9'
  • goal Oscar Uddenas 90'+10'
Eredivisie Gameweek 22
Feb 19, 2023 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Magnus Mattsson 44'
  • goal Souffian Elkarouani 73'
  • goal Anthony Musaba 85'
Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Landry Dimata 59' goal
  • goal Lazaros Lamprou 88'