Eredivisie Gameweek 33
Groningen
May 10, 2026 3.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Euroborg
Nijmegen
  • Marco Rente 45'+3' goal
  • Tygo Land 51' goal
  • Travis Hernes 69' yellowcard
  • Wouter Prins 69' yellowcard
  • Ryan Metu 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danilo 60'
  • yellowcard Başar Önal 60'
  • yellowcard Brayann Pereira 60'
  • yellowcard Youssef El Kachati 71'
  • yellowcard Koki Ogawa 71'
  • goal Darko Nejasmic 76'

Groningen vs NEC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Groningen

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 5.45pm
Groningen 2 - 3 Excelsior
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Thom van Bergen

NEC

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 8.00pm
Nijmegen 1 - 1 Telstar
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Bryan Linssen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Groningen win was 2-1 (7.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

Groningen 36.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 24.32% ▲ (+0.04)
NEC 38.9% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.08% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 22.19% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 56.17% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 43.83% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 34.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 65.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 21% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 79% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Groningen 35.2%
Draw 36.88%
NEC 27.92%

Team To Score First

Groningen 51.11% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 6.22% ▲ (+0.05)
NEC 42.67% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 73.16%
Equal 8 9.72%
Under 8 17.12%
Over 9 61.74%
Equal 9 11.42%
Under 9 26.84%
Over 10.5 49.63%
Under 10.5 50.37%

Groningen Goals

Over 1.5 40.21% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 59.79% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 18.57% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 81.43% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 7.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.71% ▲ (+0.01)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5 71.63% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 28.37% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 40.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 17.91%
Under 2.5 82.09%
Over 3.5 6.18%
Under 3.5 93.82%

Score analysis

Groningen 36.81%
Draw 24.31%
NEC 38.91%
Groningen
2-1 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.43% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.07%
3-1 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 7% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 36.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.43%
0-0 @ 6.22% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 24.31%
NEC
0-1 @ 8.57% ▲ (+0.06)
1-2 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.14% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.07%
2-3 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 2.77%
Other @ 5.89%
Total : 38.91%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Nijmegen
Nov 9, 2025 1.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Groningen
Eredivisie Gameweek 22
Groningen
Feb 8, 2025 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium
Nijmegen
  • Wouter Prins 2' goal
  • Thom van Bergen 31' goal
  • Tika de Jonge 53' yellowcard
  • Thijmen Blokzijl 58' redcard
  • goal Vito van Crooij 66'
Eredivisie Gameweek 11
Nijmegen
Nov 3, 2024 1.30pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT Sportpark De Weeren
Groningen
  • Koki Ogawa 6' goal
  • Koki Ogawa 26' goal
  • Sontje Hansen 32' goal
  • Vito van Crooij 52' goal
  • Calvin Verdonk 69' yellowcard
  • Sami Ouaissa 74' goal
  • Thomas Ouwejan 86' goal
  • yellowcard Marvin Peersman 5'
  • yellowcard Jorg Schreuders 36'
  • yellowcard Luciano Valente 43'
Eredivisie Gameweek 30
Groningen
Apr 25, 2023 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Nijmegen
  • goal Jordy Bruijn 84'
Eredivisie Gameweek 4
Nijmegen
Aug 26, 2022 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Groningen
  • Oussama Tannane 63' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Cissoko 88' goal
  • Elayis Tavsan 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomas Suslov 58'
  • yellowcard Neraysho Kasanwirjo 63'
  • goal Laros Duarte 75'
Eredivisie Gameweek 23
Groningen
Mar 12, 2022 5.45pm
4
3
HT : 2 3
FT
Nijmegen
  • Michael de Leeuw 2' goal
  • Jorgen Strand Larsen 17' yellowcard
  • Jorgen Strand Larsen 22' goal
  • Mohamed El Hankouri 60' yellowcard
  • Laros Duarte 75' yellowcard
  • Romano Postema 80' goal
  • Daleho Irandust 87' yellowcard
  • Romano Postema 90'+1' goal
  • goal Ali Akman 13'
  • redcard Souffian Elkarouani 17'
  • yellowcard Rogier Meijer 27'
  • goal Lasse Schone 29'
  • goal Magnus Mattsson 32'

Form Data

Groningen 2 - 3 Excelsior
Feyenoord 3 - 1 Groningen
Groningen 0 - 0 Go Ahead Eagles
Telstar 0 - 2 Groningen
Groningen 3 - 0 AZ
PEC Zwolle 1 - 1 Groningen
Nijmegen 1 - 1 Telstar
FC Twente 1 - 1 Nijmegen
AZ 5 - 1 Nijmegen
Nijmegen 1 - 1 Feyenoord
Excelsior 0 - 2 Nijmegen
Nijmegen 2 - 2 Heerenveen