Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 55.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.55% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 20.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%) , while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.